{"id":16973,"date":"2020-03-17T10:19:54","date_gmt":"2020-03-17T10:20:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2020\/03\/17\/fe4a329efb\/"},"modified":"2020-03-17T18:20:34","modified_gmt":"2020-03-17T10:20:34","slug":"fe4a329efb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2020\/03\/17\/fe4a329efb\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6 | \u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c355\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011<\/span><\/strong>\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u514b\u62c9\u65af\u7eb3\uff08Stephen D. Krasner\uff09\u7cfb\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u5f17\u91cc\u66fc\u65af\u6ce2\u683c\u5229\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u548c\u80e1\u4f5b\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u672c\u6587\u6539\u7f16\u81ea\u5176\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u5982\u4f55\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u4e8c\u5341\u4e00\u4e16\u7eaa\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u300b\u3002\uff08Liveright\uff0c2020\uff09<\/p>\n

\u3010<\/span><\/strong>\u7f16\u8bd1\u3011<\/span><\/strong>\u90b5\u826f\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u7f16\u8bd1\u5458\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\u5927\u5b66\uff09<\/p>\n

\u3010\u6821\u5bf9\u3011<\/strong>\u6731\u6587\u83e1<\/p>\n

\u3010\u6392\u7248\u3011<\/span><\/strong>\u6881\u946b\u6631<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u6765\u6e90\u3011<\/span><\/strong>Krasner, Stephen D. (2020). Learning to Live With Despots: The Limits of Democracy Promotion. Foreign Affair, 22<\/em>(2), 49-55.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u671f\u520a<\/span><\/strong>\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u4e8b\u52a1\u300b\uff08Foreign Affairs<\/em>\uff09\uff0c\u521b\u520a\u4e8e1922\u5e74\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u5173\u7cfb\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u6742\u5fd7\uff0c\u88ab\u8a89\u4e3a\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u6742\u5fd7\u201d\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u6839\u636e2018\u5e74\u7684\u671f\u520a\u5f15\u6587\u62a5\u544a\uff08Web of Science\uff09, \u8be5\u671f\u520a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u5b50\u4e3a4.390\uff0c\u5728\u201c\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u201d\u7c7b\u522b\u768491\u79cd\u671f\u520a\u4e2d\u6392\u540d\u7b2c3\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/strong><\/span>
<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
<\/svg><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

Learning to Live With Despots: The Limits of Democracy Promotion<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u514b\u62c9\u65af\u7eb3\uff08Stephen D. Krasner\uff09<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5185\u5bb9\u6458\u8981<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

        <\/span>\u7eb5\u89c2\u5176\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u4e24\u7c7b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e4b\u95f4\u6447\u6446\u4e0d\u5b9a\u3002<\/span>\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u7c7b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u4e3a\u6a21\u677f\u6539\u9020\uff08<\/span>remake\uff09\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/span>\u53e6\u4e00\u7c7b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5219\u5047\u5b9a\u4e16\u4e0a\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u4ece\u4fee\u7f2e\u3002<\/span>\u4ece\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e94\u8be5\u5c55\u793a\u6210\u719f\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u597d\u5904\uff0c\u8bf8\u5982\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u516c\u5e73\u7684\u9009\u4e3e\u3001\u65b0\u95fb\u81ea\u7531\u3001\u6cd5\u6cbb\u56fd\u5bb6\u3001\u5206\u6743\u5236\u8861\u548c\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u516c\u6c11\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u8981\u8bd5\u56fe\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e1c\u897f\u5f3a\u52a0\u7ed9\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/span>\u5c0f\u5e03\u4ec0\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e00\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span>\u5965\u5df4\u9a6c\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u90fd\u91c7\u53d6\u4e86\u7b2c<\/span>\u4e8c\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4e0d\u53bb\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u63a8\u52a8\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002<\/span>
<\/p>\n

        \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u7f3a\u9677\u3002<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e00\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u81ea\u547d\u4e0d\u51e1\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u628a\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u90fd\u6539\u9020\u4e3a\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/span>\u8fd9\u4e00\u60f3\u6cd5\u5728\u4ece\u8d8a\u5357\u5230\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u518d\u5230\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7684\u79cd\u79cd\u73b0\u5b9e\u9762\u524d\u5c61\u6218\u5c61\u8d25\u3002<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7c7b\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9664\u4e86\u505a\u6c11\u4e3b\u706f\u5854\u4e4b\u5916\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u4e0d\u7528\u5e72\u3002<\/span>\u8fd9\u4e00\u89c2\u70b9\u65e0\u6cd5\u9762\u5bf9\u5982\u4e0b\u73b0\u5b9e\uff1a<\/span>\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u56e2\u4f53\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u4ecd\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u6740\u6b7b\u6210\u5343\u4e0a\u4e07\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u3002<\/span>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u5ffd\u89c6\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/span>
<\/p>\n

        \u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e94\u8be5\u91c7\u53d6\u7b2c\u4e09\u7c7b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5373\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0e\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u73b0\u5b58\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4ec5\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6765\u786e\u4fdd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u91c7\u53d6\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u8981\u5728\u5bb9\u7eb3\u4ed6\u56fd\u5a01\u6743\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u4ed6\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u5e76\u52a0\u5f3a\u5176\u63d0\u4f9b\u653f\u5e9c\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5c31\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\uff0c\u6bd4\u63a8\u884c\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u786e\u4fdd\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u56fd\u6cf0\u6c11\u5b89\uff0c\u6216\u81f3\u5c11\u8db3\u591f\u592a\u5e73\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u80fd\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\u6700\u597d\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n

\u6587\u7ae0\u5bfc\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e00\u3001\u6211\u4eec\u66fe\u7ecf\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u65b9\u5f0f<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

        <\/p>\n

        \u667a\u4eba\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u4e86\u5927\u7ea68000\u4ee3\u3002\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u76f8\u5f53\u4e0d\u6109\u5feb\u30021850\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\uff08\u4ec5\u4ec57\u4ee3\u4eba\u4ee5\u524d\uff09\uff0c\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u5f00\u59cb\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u800c\u76f4\u52301900\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u624d\u52a0\u901f\u589e\u957f\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u7ea6\u4e3a30\u5c81\uff08\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u5a74\u513f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u9020\u6210\u7684\uff09\uff1b\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u5bcc\u88d5\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u4e3a70\u5c81\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u800c\u8bb8\u591a\u8d2b\u7a77\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9884\u671f\u5bff\u547d\u4e5f\u5df2\u7ecf\u63a5\u8fd170\u5c81\u3002\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u75be\u75c5\u5e38\u5e38\u80fd\u591f\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5730\u6d88\u706d\u4eba\u53e3\u3002\u76f4\u5230\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u8fd8\u6ca1\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u505a\u5230\u6cd5\u5f8b\u9762\u524d\u4eba\u4eba\u5e73\u7b49\u3002\u5bf9\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u66b4\u529b\u51b2\u7a81\u90fd\u662f\u5bb6\u5e38\u4fbf\u996d\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e00\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u5747\u6536\u5165\u624d\u6709\u4e86\u663e\u8457\u589e\u957f\u3002\u524d\u4eba\u4eec\u591a\u662f\u5728\u5a01\u6743\u653f\u4f53\u4e0b\u5ea6\u8fc7\u4e00\u751f\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u73b0\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u4eba\u8fd8\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u662f\u5168\u65b0\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u72ec\u4e00\u65e0\u4e8c\u7684\u3002\u5b83\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u72ec\u65ad\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u505a\u5230\u4e86\u6cd5\u5f8b\u9762\u524d\u4eba\u4eba\u5e73\u7b49\u3002\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e8c\u6218\u540e\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u7ecf\u5386\u8fc7\u66b4\u529b\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u4eba\u4eec\uff0c\u5728\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u662f\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5916\u3002\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u5f88\u77ed\uff0c\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6709150\u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5176\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u5730\u7406\u8303\u56f4\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u897f\u6b27\u3001\u5317\u7f8e\u3001\u6fb3\u5927\u62c9\u897f\u4e9a\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u3002\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5927\u7ea630\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u662f\u5bcc\u88d5\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u6709\u4e00\u5929\u8fd8\u4f1a\u670920\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u98de\u8dc3\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ecd\u5c06\u4ee5\u67d0\u79cd\u5f62\u5f0f\u62b5\u5236\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5c3d\u7ba1\u5e03\u4ec0\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8bf8\u5982\u62c9\u91cc\u00b7\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\uff08Larry Diamond\uff09\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bb6\u5bf9\u63a8\u52a8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u62b1\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f9d\u7136\u65e0\u6cd5\u5c06\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u6539\u9020\u4ed8\u8bf8\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002\u53bb\u5e74\uff0c\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u4ed6\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u7684\u5386\u7a0b\u3002\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u3001\u5168\u7403\u529b\u91cf\u3001\u50b2\u6162\u548c\u4f7f\u7528\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u611f\u5230\u4e0d\u6ee1\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u6d3b\u529b\u8868\u793a\u4e86\u8d77\u7801\u7684\u94a6\u4f69\u3002\u201d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f1a\u652f\u6301\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4e8b\u4e1a\u201d\u3002\u4f46\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e8e\u4e3a\u4eba\u6c11\u670d\u52a1\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u90fd\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u7528\u6b66\u5668\u6216\u91d1\u94b1\u7ef4\u62a4\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u65e8\u5728\u7ed3\u675f\u5176\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u53d1\u52a8\u7fa4\u4f17\u95f9\u9769\u547d\u662f\u5371\u9669\u548c\u4e0d\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u3002\u9769\u547d\u662f\u7f55\u89c1\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u901a\u5e38\u7a33\u5982\u6cf0\u5c71\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u5728\u56fd\u5916\u5efa\u7acb\u5bcc\u88d5\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5979\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff08Donald Trump\uff09\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5ba3\u4f20\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u5f53\u9009\u540e\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6f14\u8bb2\u4e2d\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u7403\u56fd\u6b4c\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u7403\u516c\u6c11\u8bc1\u4e66\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5ba3\u8a93\u6548\u5fe0\u4e00\u9762\u56fd\u65d7\uff0c\u90a3\u9762\u56fd\u65d7\u5c31\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u65d7\u3002\u4ece\u73b0\u5728\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u597d\u5417\uff1f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7b2c\u4e00\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u628a\u81ea\u5df1\u653e\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f4d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

        \u60f3\u8981\u6536\u7f29\u6218\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u89e3\u51b3\u56fd\u5185\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u9ebb\u70e6\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4f60\u559c\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u786e\u4f7f\u4e16\u754c\u53d8\u5c0f\u4e86\uff0c\u6280\u672f\u4e5f\u5207\u65ad\u4e86\u7269\u8d28\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u4f24\u5bb3\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u6cbb\u7406\u4e0d\u5584\u548c\u8d2b\u7a77\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5c11\u6570\u4eba\u63a7\u5236\u7740\u8db3\u4ee5\u6740\u6b7b\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u548c\u751f\u7269\u6b66\u5668\u3002\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u6b63\u5728\u6269\u6563\u3002\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5df2\u7ecf\u628a\u6838\u6280\u672f\u5356\u7ed9\u4e86\u671d\u9c9c\uff1b\u4e5f\u8bb8\u6709\u4e00\u5929\u671d\u9c9c\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u8f6c\u5356\u3002\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u53ef\u80fd\u843d\u5165\u5723\u6218\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08jihadi groups\uff09\u624b\u4e2d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u821e\u53f0\u4e0a\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u907f\u514d\u51fa\u73b0\u6700\u574f\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u7531\u4e8e\u5728\u53ef\u9884\u89c1\u7684\u672a\u6765\u91cc\uff0c\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4ecd\u4f1a\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5c06\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u957f\u671f\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u5904\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u9700\u8981\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u826f\u5584\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8db3\u591f\u597d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\u3002\u826f\u5584\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u897f\u65b9\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u5373\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u6cd5\u6cbb\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5411\u6c11\u4f17\u63d0\u4f9b\u5404\u79cd\u5404\u6837\u7684\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7531\u901a\u8fc7\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u516c\u5e73\u9009\u4e3e\u9009\u51fa\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u51b3\u5b9a\u3002\u826f\u5584\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u76f8\u5bf9\u6765\u8bf4\u6ca1\u6709\u8150\u8d25\uff0c\u4e3a\u6240\u6709\u516c\u6c11\u63d0\u4f9b\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u3002\u4f46\u63a8\u52a8\u9009\u4e3e\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u6d41\u8840\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u660e\u663e\u6539\u5584\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\u3002\u5b8c\u5168\u6d88\u9664\u8150\u8d25\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u628a\u6700\u6076\u52a3\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u6392\u9664\u5728\u5916\u3002\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u66f4\u591a\u4fb5\u72af\u4e2a\u4eba\u6743\u5229\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u60f3\u8981\u6539\u53d8\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u91cc\uff0c\u826f\u5584\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u5f53\u5730\u7cbe\u82f1\u9636\u5c42\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u4f1a\u62d2\u7edd\u6216\u7834\u574f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0b\u53f0\u7684\u6539\u9769\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u76ee\u6807\u66f4\u4e3a\u6709\u9650\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d6\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002\u66f4\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e9b\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u6240\u80fd\u671f\u5f85\u7684\u6700\u597d\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5b9e\u73b0\u8db3\u591f\u597d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fdd\u62a4\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u59a8\u788d\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u671d\u7740\u6c11\u4e3b\u9053\u8def\u7ee7\u7eed\u524d\u8fdb\u3002\u65e8\u5728\u5b9e\u73b0\u826f\u597d\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5df2\u7ecf\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\u3002\u6700\u597d\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u6765\u81ea\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u768420\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5bfb\u6c42\u901a\u8fc7\u63d0\u4f9b\u8d22\u653f\u63f4\u52a9\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u57f9\u8bad\u3001\u519b\u4e8b\u6280\u672f\u548c\u60c5\u62a5\u6765\u904f\u5236\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u66b4\u529b\u548c\u6bd2\u54c1\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u52a8\u76f4\u52302016\u5e74\u624d\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\uff08\u73b0\u4e3a\u201c\u548c\u5e73\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u201d\uff09\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\u663e\u8457\u7684\u30022002\u5e74\u81f32008\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u51f6\u6740\u6848\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8645%\u30022002\u5e74\u81f32012\u5e74\u95f4\uff0c\u7ed1\u67b6\u6848\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8690%\u3002\u81ea\u672c\u4e16\u7eaa\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5728\u4e00\u4e9b\u6cbb\u7406\u63aa\u65bd\u4e0a\u6709\u4e86\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u63a7\u5236\u8150\u8d25\u3001\u6cd5\u6cbb\u3001\u653f\u5e9c\u6548\u80fd\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u95ee\u8d23\u30022016\u5e74\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u9769\u547d\u6b66\u88c5\u90e8\u961f\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u6e38\u51fb\u6b66\u88c5\u8fbe\u6210\u4e86\u548c\u5e73\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fdb\u7a0b\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u9ad8\u6f6e\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u201c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u5b83\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u6539\u9020\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u66b4\u529b\u6709\u6240\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u4f46\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5c1a\u672a\u8d70\u4e0a\u6210\u4e3a\u6210\u719f\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9053\u8def\u3002\u4e00\u5c0f\u64ae\u7cbe\u82f1\u4ecd\u7136\u63a7\u5236\u7740\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0a\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u8fd8\u662f\u548c\u4ee5\u524d\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u9009\u4e3e\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u610f\u4e49\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u5c06\u6743\u529b\u4ece\u7edf\u6cbb\u9636\u7ea7\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d3e\u7cfb\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d3e\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u7cbe\u82f1\u4eec\u63a5\u53d7\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e72\u6d89\u6027\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u4f7f\u8be5\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5230\u4e86\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\uff0c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5185\u7684\u66b4\u529b\u72af\u7f6a\u5df2\u7ecf\u7316\u7357\u5230\u5a01\u80c1\u8be5\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e2e\u52a9\uff0c\u7cbe\u82f1\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u8d76\u4e0b\u53f0\u3002\u201c\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8ba1\u5212\u201d\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecb\u5165\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u5185\u653f\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u6e05\u9192\u5730\u63d0\u9192\u4eba\u4eec\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u5e72\u6d89\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e8c\u3001<\/strong>\u6700\u4f73\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\uff08THE SWEET SPOT\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

        <\/p>\n

        \u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5efa\u7acb\u5bcc\u88d5\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u5929\u771f\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u201c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u548c\u6280\u672f\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u662f\u6c34\u5230\u6e20\u6210\u7684\u3002\u8d22\u5bcc\u589e\u957f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6c11\u4e3b\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u800c\u6c11\u4e3b\u53d1\u5c55\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u53c8\u4ea7\u751f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5404\u56fd\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u81ea\u52a8\u6276\u68af\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u7ea7\u53f0\u9636\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e00\u8def\u6276\u6447\u76f4\u4e0a\u5347\u5230\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u4e4b\u8def\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u70b9\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u5316\u7406\u8bba\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u660e\u663e\u7684\u6f0f\u6d1e\uff1a\u5b83\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u53ea\u662f\u6700\u8fd1\u624d\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u53ea\u5728\u5c11\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ea\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u5730\u7406\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u53d1\u5c55\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u5f3a\u8c03\u5236\u5ea6\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5931\u8d25\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u672c\u6765\u60f3\u505a\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5236\u5ea6\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u597d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\uff0c\u624d\u917f\u6210\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7559\u604b\u6743\u529b\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u5236\u5ea6\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5374\u5012\u5728\u4e86\u8d77\u8dd1\u7ebf\u4e0a\uff1a\u5b83\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u89e3\u91ca\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5927\u591a\u6570\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4f1a\u7518\u5fc3\u4e3a\u4eba\u6c11\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u670d\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u63a5\u53d7\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u53d1\u5c55\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5373\u7406\u6027\u9009\u62e9\u5236\u5ea6\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08rational choice institutionalism\uff09\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u66f4\u6210\u529f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u8bba\u5f3a\u8c03\u7cbe\u82f1\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u53ea\u6709\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u624d\u4f1a\u613f\u610f\u9650\u5236\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6743\u529b\uff0c\u91c7\u53d6\u60e0\u53ca\u5168\u6c11\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5728\u6700\u4f73\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5f3a\u5927\u5230\u8db3\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u5173\u952e\u6027\u670d\u52a1\u800c\u4e0d\u81f3\u4e8e\u538b\u5236\u4eba\u6c11\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u653f\u4f53\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u8a79\u59c6\u65af\u00b7\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u5728\u300a\u8054\u90a6\u515a\u4eba\u6587\u96c6\u300b\u7b2c51\u7bc7\u4e2d\u6240\u5199\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u201c\u5728\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb\u4eba\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u65f6\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u56f0\u96be\u5728\u4e8e\u5fc5\u987b\u9996\u5148\u4f7f\u653f\u5e9c\u80fd\u7ba1\u7406\u88ab\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u518d\u4f7f\u653f\u5e9c\u7ba1\u7406\u81ea\u8eab\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u662f\u8fc4\u4eca\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4e3a\u660e\u667a\u7684\u5173\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u8bba\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u7406\u6027\u9009\u62e9\u5236\u5ea6\u4e3b\u4e49\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8d22\u5bcc\u548c\u6c11\u4e3b\u4e0d\u662f\u5386\u53f2\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5fc5\u7136\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u8d22\u5bcc\u589e\u957f\u548c\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u65e5\u76ca\u58ee\u5927\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u6c11\u4e3b\u5316\u7684\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5fc5\u7136\u5bfc\u81f4\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u8fd0\u6c14\u4e5f\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5982\u679c1588\u5e746\u6708\u98ce\u5411\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u65e0\u654c\u8230\u961f\u6216\u8bb8\u80fd\u591f\u652f\u6301\u5e15\u5c14\u9a6c\u516c\u7235\u5165\u4fb5\u82f1\u56fd\u3002\u4f0a\u4e3d\u838e\u767d\u5973\u738b\u4e00\u4e16\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u88ab\u7f62\u514d\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7684\u53d1\u6e90\u5730\u6216\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u6447\u7bee\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u57281940\u5e74\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u82f1\u5409\u5229\u6d77\u5ce1\u7684\u6d6a\u6f6e\u963b\u6b62\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c0f\u8239\u4ece\u6566\u523b\u5c14\u514b\u8425\u6551\u82f1\u56fd\u8fdc\u5f81\u519b\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6c42\u548c\uff0c\u7eb3\u7cb9\u5fb7\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u628a\u6240\u6709\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u90fd\u7528\u4e8e\u6253\u8d25\u82cf\u8054\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u80fd\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u4ec5\u4ec5\u6307\u51fa\u5916\u56fd\u5e72\u6d89\u5f88\u96be\u5e26\u6765\u6c11\u4e3b\u3001\u6709\u6548\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u81ea\u7531\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u8fd8\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u63ed\u9732\u771f\u76f8\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e8c\u6218\u540e\u897f\u5fb7\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u8fd9\u51e0\u4e2a\u610f\u5916\u6848\u4f8b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6743\u529b\u3001\u6cd5\u897f\u65af\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u975e\u6cd5\u5316\u4ee5\u53ca\u628a\u4e0e\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7ed3\u76df\u89c6\u4f5c\u8270\u96be\u6289\u62e9\u4e2d\u7684\u6700\u4f18\u9009\u9879\u7684\u5f53\u5730\u7cbe\u82f1\u6240\u5171\u540c\u9020\u5c31\u7684\u3002\u9ea6\u514b\u963f\u745f\u5c06\u519b\u4e0e\u65e5\u672c\u5929\u7687\u7ed3\u76df\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u628a\u4ed6\u5f53\u4f5c\u6218\u4e89\u7f6a\u72af\u5ba1\u5224\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u662d\u548c\u5929\u7687\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u4e3b\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u2014\u2014\u5012\u5411\u82cf\u8054\u5236\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u6ca1\u6709\u5386\u53f2\u76ee\u7684\u8bba\uff0c\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u4ece\u538b\u69a8\u3001\u5c01\u95ed\u56fd\u5bb6\u5230\u5305\u5bb9\u3001\u5f00\u653e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u53d1\u5c55\u5fc5\u7136\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u793e\u4f1a\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u8981\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u4f7f\u638c\u6743\u7cbe\u82f1\u7684\u52a8\u673a\u4e0e\u5176\u6cbb\u4e0b\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u52a8\u673a\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5f88\u5c11\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u5916\u56fd\u5e72\u6d89\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e09\u3001<\/strong>\u6311\u9009\u201c\u591f\u7528\u201d\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

        <\/p>\n

        \u7f8e\u56fd\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4e16\u754c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u65bd\u52a0\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u5fc5\u987b\u8ba4\u771f\u8c03\u6574\u5176\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u9002\u5e94\u5f62\u52bf\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u4e3b\u8981\u6709\u4e09\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1a\u5bcc\u88d5\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3001\u8f6c\u578b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u517c\u6709\u6c11\u4e3b\u548c\u975e\u6c11\u4e3b\u7279\u5f81\uff09\u548c\u5a01\u6743\u653f\u6743\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u6839\u636e\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u5e73\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u653f\u4f53\u7814\u7a76\u9879\u76ee\uff08Center for Systemic Peace’s Polity Project\uff09\u6240\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u8861\u91cf\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u5bcc\u88d5\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u5176\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u4eba\u5747\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u8d85\u8fc717000\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u670930\u4e2a\u662f\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u9879\u76ee\u5c06\u5404\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u8d28\u91cf\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u4ece\u8d1f10\u5206\u523010\u5206\u4e0d\u540c\u7b49\u7ea7\u3002\u6240\u6709\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff08\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u65b0\u897f\u5170\u9664\u5916\uff09\u90fd\u5728\u4e1c\u4e9a\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u6216\u5317\u7f8e\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u52aa\u529b\u5b8c\u5584\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u52a0\u5f3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8054\u76df\u4f53\u7cfb\u3001\u904f\u5236\u6216\u9707\u6151\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3001\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u8d38\u6613\u58c1\u5792\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5206\u4eab\u60c5\u62a5\uff0c\u6765\u6700\u597d\u5730\u5e2e\u52a9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5c55\u793a\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u5e76\u975e\u6613\u4e8b\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5baa\u6cd5\u5f88\u96be\u6539\u53d8\u3002\u5341\u516b\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\u7ba1\u7528\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u5728\u4eca\u5929\u672a\u5fc5\u7ba1\u7528\u3002\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u53e3\u6700\u591a\u7684\u5dde\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u6700\u5c11\u7684\u5dde\u4e4b\u95f4\u4eba\u53e3\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53c2\u8bae\u9662\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5dee\u8ddd\u5728\u5baa\u6cd5\u5236\u5b9a\u65f6\u7ea6\u4e3a13:1\uff08\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u4e0e\u7279\u62c9\u534e\u5dde\uff09\uff1b\u73b0\u5728\u8d85\u8fc760:1\uff08\u52a0\u5229\u798f\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u4e0e\u6000\u4fc4\u660e\u5dde\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e00\u5c0f\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u53e3\uff08\u4e0d\u523020%\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u963b\u6b62\u7acb\u6cd5\u3002\u4e92\u8054\u7f51\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u653f\u6cbb\u4ea4\u6d41\u3002\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u8868\u4efb\u4f55\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u552f\u5916\u56fd\u5b9e\u4f53\uff08foreign entities\uff09\u9a6c\u9996\u662f\u77bb\u7684\u5404\u7c7b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u52a0\u8f7b\u800c\u6613\u4e3e\u5730\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u3002\u800c\u968f\u7740\u6570\u5b57\u6280\u672f\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5c06\u66f4\u96be\u8fa8\u522b\u4fe1\u606f\u771f\u5047\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5584\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e2e\u52a9\u5904\u4e8e\u8f6c\u578b\u671f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e19\u4e2a\u4eba\u5747\u5e74\u6536\u5165\u57287000\u7f8e\u5143\u523017000\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u3001\u6c11\u4e3b\u8d28\u91cf\u5f97\u5206\u57286\u5206\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5e2e\u52a9\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u6210\u529f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5305\u62ec\u535a\u8328\u74e6\u7eb3\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u514b\u7f57\u5730\u4e9a\u3001\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u548c\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u7fa4\u4f53\u4e2d\u6700\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u524d\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u536b\u661f\u56fd\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u4fdd\u52a0\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u7f57\u9a6c\u5c3c\u4e9a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c45\u6c11\u6536\u5165\u548c\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u9ad8\uff0c\u53d1\u5c55\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7a33\u5065\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5176\u4e2d\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5e0c\u671b\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6210\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002\u5e2e\u52a9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\u5b9e\u73b0\u6210\u719f\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u5173\u952e\u662f\u786e\u5b9a\u548c\u652f\u6301\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u672c\u5730\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u6bd5\u7adf\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u6c11\u4e3b\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c\u4e5f\u80fd\u9009\u51fa\u4e0d\u9075\u4ece\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5df4\u897f\u603b\u7edf\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\u548c\u571f\u8033\u5176\u603b\u7edf\u57c3\u5c14\u591a\u5b89\u3002\u800c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u53ea\u6709\u6709\u9650\u627f\u8bfa\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bc1\u660e\u662f\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u4f19\u4f34\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4e8c\u6218\u540e\u662d\u548c\u5929\u7687\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u6240\u505a\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u8981\u77e5\u9053\u54ea\u4f4d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u4f9b\u8db3\u591f\u597d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\uff08\u65e0\u8bba\u5176\u5bf9\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u5982\u4f55\uff09\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u5f53\u5730\u7cbe\u82f1\u3001\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u4fe1\u4ef0\u548c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u8ffd\u968f\u8005\u6709\u6df1\u5165\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u3002\u4e3a\u6b64\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u9662\uff08the U.S. State Department\uff09\u5e94\u6539\u53d8\u6bcf\u9694\u4e24\u4e09\u5e74\u5c06\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u5458\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c97\u4f4d\u8c03\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c97\u4f4d\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee3\u4e4b\u4ee5\u66f4\u957f\u7684\u7559\u4efb\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u4ed6\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8fd1\u8ddd\u79bb\u6df1\u523b\u4e86\u89e3\u88ab\u6d3e\u5f80\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u627e\u5230\u529e\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba9\u5916\u4ea4\u5b98\u5458\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u63a5\u89e6\u9ad8\u5c42\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5176\u65bd\u52a0\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u5176\u4ed6\u5148\u8fdb\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6210\u529f\u5730\u63a8\u52a8\u4e00\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d70\u5411\u6210\u719f\u7684\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u91ca\u653e\u4e2a\u4eba\u521b\u9020\u529b\uff08individual initiative\uff09\u548c\u9650\u5236\u56fd\u5bb6\u5750\u4eab\u5176\u6210\u6765\u83b7\u5f97\u66f4\u591a\u8d22\u5bcc\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7684\u653f\u6743\u90fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u5b9e\u73b0\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u6216\u5168\u9762\u6c11\u4e3b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u5927\u591a\u6570\u662f\u4e00\u7a77\u4e8c\u767d\u7684\uff0c\u7edf\u6cbb\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e5f\u5bf9\u6743\u529b\u6781\u4e3a\u75f4\u8ff7\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u4e5f\u662f\u6311\u9009\u5408\u9002\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u6765\u652f\u6491\u5c40\u9762\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e0d\u5e94\u8be5\u95ee\u5f53\u5730\u7cbe\u82f1\u662f\u5426\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u6c11\u4e3b\u4ef7\u503c\u89c2\uff0c\u800c\u5e94\u8be5\u95ee\u4ed6\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u5728\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5730\u76d8\u7ef4\u6301\u6709\u6548\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u5b89\u5168\u63f4\u52a9\u65b9\u9762\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u5f53\u5730\u7cbe\u82f1\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u63a5\u53d7\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u65e8\u5728\u6539\u5584\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u7279\u522b\u662f\u533b\u7597\u4fdd\u5065\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u53ef\u80fd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6c11\u4f17\u652f\u6301\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5a01\u6743\u653f\u6743\u7684\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u63a5\u53d7\u65e8\u5728\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u524d\u63d0\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u6743\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e0a\u8ff0\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u5916\u56fd\u5e72\u6d89\u8005\u5f88\u96be\u63d0\u51fa\u6539\u9769\u5efa\u8bae\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5bf9\u5f53\u5730\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u4e86\u89e3\u6709\u9650\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5373\u80fd\u591f\u8fbe\u6210\u8db3\u591f\u597d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u7ee9\u6548\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u4ece\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5b9e\u9645\u95ee\u9898\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u95ee\u57c3\u53ca\u603b\u7edf\u585e\u897f\uff08Abdel Fattah el-Sisi\uff09\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u662f\u5426\u5177\u6709\u8db3\u591f\u7684\u5305\u5bb9\u6027\u548c\u80fd\u529b\u6765\u7a33\u5b9a\u5c40\u9762\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u95ee\u8fd9\u4f4d\u5c06\u519b\u662f\u5426\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u653f\u53d8\u4e0a\u53f0\u7684\u3002\u5982\u679c\u7b54\u6848\u662f\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u652f\u6301\u57c3\u53ca\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u52a0\u5f3a\u8be5\u653f\u6743\u7684\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u670d\u52a1\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u5e76\u81f3\u5c11\u5bf9\u57c3\u53ca\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u5f00\u653e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e02\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u5e94\u5982\u6cd5\u70ae\u5236\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5e94\u8be5\u770b\u770b\u80fd\u5426\u5728\u963f\u5bcc\u6c57\u548c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u627e\u5230\u8db3\u4ee5\u7a33\u5b9a\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u53bb\u7ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u7f6a\u884c\u6216\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0a\u53f0\u7684\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e94\u8be5\u627f\u8ba4\u6839\u672c\u65e0\u6cd5\u6539\u53d8\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fd9\u6837\u62e5\u6709\u5f3a\u5927\u4e2d\u592e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5a01\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u3002\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u63f4\u52a9\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u597d\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u56fd\u9001\u51fa\u8fd9\u4efd\u63f4\u52a9\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u80fd\u5e2e\u52a9\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u4fc3\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u826f\u5584\u653f\u5e9c\u3002<\/p>\n

        \u534e\u76db\u987f\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u53ea\u6709\u7b26\u5408\u5f53\u5730\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u53d6\u5f97\u6210\u529f\uff1b\u5728\u5927\u591a\u6570\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u5c06\u662f\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u96be\u4ee5\u5bb9\u5fcd\u4ed6\u4eec\uff0c\u66f4\u4e0d\u613f\u610f\u4e0e\u4ed6\u4eec\u5408\u4f5c\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u66ff\u4ee3\u9009\u9879\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5984\u81ea\u5c0a\u5927\u5730\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ee5\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f62\u8c61\u91cd\u5851\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u63a9\u8033\u76d7\u94c3\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u53ef\u4ee5\u7b80\u5355\u65e0\u89c6\u5b83\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u66f4\u52a0\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\"\u3010FA\u4e13\u9898\u3011\u5b66\u4f1a\u4e0e\u72fc\u5171\u821e\uff1a\u6c11\u4e3b\u63a8\u5e7f\u7684\u9650\u5ea6<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011\u53f2\u8482\u82ac\u00b7\u514b\u62c9\u65af\u7eb3\uff08St<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16974,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[21,33],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16973"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16973"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16973\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16980,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16973\/revisions\/16980"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16974"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}