{"id":16161,"date":"2019-02-25T13:20:19","date_gmt":"2020-01-25T04:13:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2020\/01\/25\/e7fde27462\/"},"modified":"2020-01-25T12:14:12","modified_gmt":"2020-01-25T04:14:12","slug":"e7fde27462","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/02\/25\/e7fde27462\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u91cd\u78c5\u8bc4\u8bba\u3011\u6768\u539f\uff1a\u5510\u4e16\u5e73\u7684\u72ec\u7279\u6027\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u591a\u6837\u6027\u2014\u2014\u517c\u8bfb\u300a\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6f14\u5316\u300b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"bpp-post-content\">\n<section style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<p style=\"max-width: 558px; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word; min-height: 17px; text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, system-ui, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 29.75px; letter-spacing: 0.54px; font-stretch: normal;\"><img class=\"__bg_gif\" style=\"max-width: 558px; 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margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e0a\u8ff0\u7406\u8bba\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0e\u5ba2\u89c2\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e4b\u95f4\u51fa\u73b0\u504f\u5dee\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u539f\u56e0\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7406\u8bba\u8bef\u5c06\u201c\u9002\u8005\u751f\u5b58\u201d\u6df7\u6dc6\u4e3a\u201c\u5f3a\u8005\u751f\u5b58\u201d\uff0c\u8bef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5f3a\u8005\u5927\u8005\u603b\u662f\u6bd4\u5f31\u8005\u5c0f\u8005\u66f4\u6709\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u3002<strong>\u5982\u679c\u6446\u8131\u5355\u4e00\u6027\u3001\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u7aa0\u81fc\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u4e0d\u96be\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u201c\u5927\u201d\u56fa\u7136\u6709\u201c\u5927\u201d\u7684\u597d\u5904\uff0c\u4f46\u201c\u5c0f\u201d\u4e5f\u6709\u201c\u5c0f\u201d\u7684\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/strong>\u6bd4\u5982\u4e0e\u5927\u56fd\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u89c4\u6a21\u5c0f\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u516c\u5171\u6cbb\u7406\u6210\u672c\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u8d22\u5bcc\u6c72\u53d6\u6548\u7387\u66f4\u9ad8\uff1b\u6c11\u65cf\u6784\u6210\u66f4\u7b80\u5355\uff0c\u66f4\u5bb9\u6613\u4fdd\u6301\u7edf\u4e00\u8ba4\u540c\uff1b\u8fd8\u53ef\u4ee5\u201c\u642d\u4fbf\u8f66\u201d\u4ee5\u8282\u7ea6\u7ef4\u6301\u5e9e\u5927\u519b\u961f\u548c\u9886\u571f\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u4e00\u9879\u83b72017\u5e74\u201cIO\u57fa\u6b27\u6c49\u5956\u201d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u516c\u51431100\u81f31790\u5e74\u95f4\u7684\u6b27\u6d32\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u9762\u79ef\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c0f\u3002\u6362\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u9762\u79ef\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff0c\u751f\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u6982\u7387\u53cd\u800c\u8d8a\u5927\uff08Abramson, 2017\uff09\u3002\u800c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5e9e\u7136\u5927\u56fd\u6709\u65f6\u5176\u5b9e\u6bd4\u5c0f\u56fd\u8106\u5f31\u5f97\u591a\uff1a\u79e6\u5e1d\u56fd\u4e8c\u4e16\u800c\u4ea1\uff0c\u5143\u671d\u4e0d\u8db3\u767e\u5e74\uff0c\u82cf\u805474\u5e74\u89e3\u4f53\u2026\u2026\u52a8\u7269\u4e16\u754c\u540c\u6837\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u6050\u9f99\u4f53\u578b\u5de8\u5927\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u9897\u5c0f\u884c\u661f\u5c31\u4f7f\u5176\u706d\u7edd\uff0c\u800c\u90a3\u4e9b\u201c\u82df\u6d3b\u201d\u5728\u6050\u9f99\u5939\u7f1d\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u5c0f\u8001\u9f20\u201d\uff0c\u5374\u6210\u529f\u5730\u6d3b\u5230\u4e86\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u6210\u4e3a\u4e07\u7269\u4e4b\u7075\u957f\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 32px; margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u6b64\u5916\u8fd8\u5e94\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\uff0c\u201c\u5927\u201d\u56fa\u7136\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ece\u201c\u5c0f\u201d\u53d8\u201c\u5927\u201d\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5176\u5b9e\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u3002<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u201c\u8d62\u5f97\u9738\u6743\u4e4b\u540e\u201d\u548c\u201c\u4e89\u593a\u9738\u6743\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u201d\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u540e\u8005\u662f\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u79cd\u80fd\u591f\u5c06\u6709\u6f5c\u529b\u7ade\u6807\u9738\u6743\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u63a8\u5411\u4ea1\u56fd\u8fb9\u7f18\u7684\u9014\u5f84\u4e4b\u4e00\uff08Kirshner, 2010\uff09\u3002\u575a\u5b9a\u4e0d\u79fb\u5730\u5b9e\u65bd\u8fdb\u653b\u6027\u6269\u5f20\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4e00\u5473\u6c42\u201c\u5927\u201d\uff0c\u662f\u5bfc\u81f4\u5a01\u5ec9\u4e8c\u4e16\u5fb7\u56fd\u3001\u5e0c\u7279\u52d2\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u519b\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u65e5\u672c\u81ea\u8eab\u5b89\u5168\u72b6\u51b5\u6301\u7eed\u6076\u5316\u5e76\u6700\u7ec8\u906d\u53d7\u6c11\u65cf\u60e8\u8d25\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u539f\u56e0\u3002\u603b\u6709\u4eba\u6279\u8bc4\u5b8b\u671d\u5949\u884c\u9632\u5fa1\u6027\u4fdd\u5b88\u9f9f\u7f29\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u4ee5\u5fb7\u65e5\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4e3a\u53c2\u7167\u505a\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4e0d\u96be\u63a8\u6d4b\uff0c\u5b8b\u671d\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u8fd9\u4e48\u505a\uff0c\u8f6c\u800c\u79ef\u6781\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6bd4\u5b9e\u9645\u66f4\u201c\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u201d\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6bd4\u5b9e\u9645\u6b7b\u5f97\u66f4\u5feb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 32px; margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7ea6\u675f\u6761\u4ef6\u4f1a\u7b5b\u9009\u548c\u4fdd\u7559\u4e0b\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f62\u6001\u548c\u56fd\u5bb6\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u5f3a\u6c42\u4e00\u5f8b\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u8fdd\u80cc\u4e86\u6f14\u5316\u7684\u591a\u6837\u6027\u539f\u7406\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5fc5\u7136\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u8ba4\u8bc6\u4e0a\u7684\u504f\u8bef\u3002<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u4e0d\u5f3a\u6c42\u4e00\u5f8b\uff0c\u8f6c\u800c\u53bb\u53d1\u73b0\u548c\u89e3\u91ca\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u591a\u6837\u6027\u548c\u5dee\u5f02\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u5f53\u7136\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5f97\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u201c\u7b80\u7ea6\u201d\uff0c\u4e0d\u90a3\u4e48\u201c\u7f8e\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u8981\u52a1\u6c38\u8fdc\u662f\u6c42\u201c\u771f\u201d\u3002\u5173\u6ce8\u5dee\u5f02\u6027\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u8981\u6bd4\u5173\u6ce8\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u6240\u6709\u4ee5\u6f14\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e3a\u672c\u4f53\u8bba\u7684\u9886\u57df\u2014\u2014\u7684\u672c\u6765\u9762\u76ee\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 32px; margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u603b\u4e4b\uff0c\u6f14\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u8303\u5f0f\u6709\u4e24\u5c42\u8981\u4e49\uff1a\u4e00\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u4e0d\u65ad\u6f14\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u9700\u8981\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff1b\u4e8c\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u662f\u591a\u6837\u5316\u7684\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u662f\u53d1\u73b0\u548c\u89e3\u91ca\u5dee\u5f02\u6027\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u300a\u6f14\u5316\u300b\u65d7\u5e1c\u9c9c\u660e\u5730\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c42\u8981\u4e49\uff0c\u4f46\u76f8\u5bf9\u5ffd\u89c6\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5c42\u8981\u4e49\u3002<strong>\u7b14\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5c42\u8981\u4e49\u81f3\u5c11\u4e0e\u7b2c\u4e00\u5c42\u8981\u4e49\u540c\u7b49\u91cd\u8981\uff1b\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0d\u6b63\u89c6\u591a\u6837\u6027\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u7406\u8bba\u90fd\u662f\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e0e\u591a\u6837\u6027\u76f8\u62b5\u89e6\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u7406\u8bba\u90fd\u662f\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u3002<\/strong>\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u300a\u6f14\u5316\u300b\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u4e3b\u4e49\u7406\u8bba\u6784\u5efa\u6253\u4e0b\u6765\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u57fa\u77f3\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u9879\u7406\u8bba\u6784\u5efa\u672c\u8eab\u5e76\u672a\u7ae3\u5de5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u81f3\u591a\u53ea\u5b8c\u6210\u4e861\/2\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u5510\u8001\u5e08\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u9057\u61be\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u662f\u6574\u4e2a\u7406\u8bba\u521b\u65b0\u5171\u540c\u4f53\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5c0f\u5e78\u8fd0\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5305\u62ec\u5510\u8001\u5e08\u5728\u5185\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6709\u5fc3\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u505a\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u521b\u9020\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 32px; margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u7279\u522b\u60f3\u8bf4\uff0c\u6279\u8bc4\u662f\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u521b\u9020\u662f\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u3002\u54ea\u6015\u6709\u4e00\u4e07\u6761\u518d\u7cbe\u5f69\u518d\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u6279\u5224\uff0c\u4e5f\u62b5\u4e0d\u4e0a\u4e00\u9879\u54ea\u6015\u518d\u7c97\u7cd9\u518d\u7a1a\u62d9\u7684\u521b\u9020\u3002\u5411\u5510\u8001\u5e08\u7684\u5353\u8d8a\u521b\u9020\u81f4\u656c\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 32px; margin-top: 5px; margin-bottom: 5px; line-height: 1.75em;\"><strong><span style=\"line-height: 150%; font-family: \u6977\u4f53; font-size: 17px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<hr style=\"border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 0 0; border-color: rgba(0,0,0,0.1); -webkit-transform-origin: 0 0; -webkit-transform: scale(1, 0.5); transform-origin: 0 0; transform: scale(1, 0.5);\" \/>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Abramson, Scott F., 2017, \u201cThe Economic Origins of the Territorial State,\u201d <em>International Organization<\/em>, Vol. 71, No. 1, pp. 97-130.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Kirshner, <span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline;\">Jonathan<\/span>, 2010<span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px; vertical-align: baseline;\">, \u201cThe Tragedy of Offensive Realism: Classical Realism and the Rise of China,\u201d <em>European Journal of International Relations<\/em>, Vol. 18, No. 1, p<\/span>p. 53-75.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Schumpeter, Joseph Alois, 1934 (2008), <em>The Theory of Economic Development: An Inquiry into Profits, Capital, Credit, Interest <\/em><em>and the Business Cycle<\/em>, translated by Redvers Opie (London: Transaction Publishers).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Smith, John Maynard 1982, <em>Evolution and the Theory of Games<\/em> (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press)<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Waltz, Kenneth N., 1979, <em>Theory of International Politics<\/em> (Reading, Massachusetts: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">Wees, Hans van, 2001, \u201cWar and Peace in Ancient Greece,\u201d in Anja V. Hartmann and Beatrice Heuser eds., <em>War, Peace and World Orders in European History<\/em> (London: Routledge).<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-indent: 28px;\"><span style=\"font-family: serif; font-size: 14px;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<hr style=\"border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 0 0; border-color: rgba(0,0,0,0.1); -webkit-transform-origin: 0 0; -webkit-transform: scale(1, 0.5); transform-origin: 0 0; transform: scale(1, 0.5);\" \/>\n<p style=\"max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;\"><span style=\"color: #000000; font-family: \u5b8b\u4f53; letter-spacing: 0.54px; text-indent: 32px; background-color: #ffffff; font-size: 15px;\">***\u672c\u6587\u7531\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u5e73\u53f0\u72ec\u5bb6\u9996\u53d1***<\/span><\/p>\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.544px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 0.54px; font-family: \u5fae\u8f6f\u96c5\u9ed1; text-align: center; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; word-wrap: break-word !important; border: 0px none initial;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box !important; word-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; word-wrap: break-word !important; border: 0px none currentcolor;\">\n<section style=\"margin: 2px auto; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; word-wrap: break-word !important;\">\n<section style=\"margin-top: -0.7em; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-radius: 0.4em; 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