{"id":15383,"date":"2020-01-06T14:00:50","date_gmt":"2020-01-06T14:31:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2020\/01\/06\/c03f13760c\/"},"modified":"2020-01-06T22:31:42","modified_gmt":"2020-01-06T14:31:42","slug":"c03f13760c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2020\/01\/06\/c03f13760c\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c306\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba
<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
Andrew Healy\uff0c\u6d1b\u7ea6\u62c9\u9a6c\u5229\u8499\u7279\u5927\u5b66\uff08Loyola Marymount University\uff09\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7cfb\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3001\u5e94\u7528\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3002Katrina Kosec\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u98df\u7269\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240 (International Food Policy Research Institute, IFPRI)\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u4e3a\u516c\u5171\u6cbb\u7406\u3001\u516c\u5171\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u73af\u5883\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u3002Cecilia Hyunjung Mo\uff0c\u73b0\u4e3a\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b66\u4f2f\u514b\u5229\u5206\u6821\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u7cfb\u548c\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u7cfb\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u5174\u8da3\u4e3a\u884c\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3001\u6bd4\u8f83\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u53d1\u5c55\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u653f\u7b56\u7b49\uff0c\u5979\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u66fe\u83b7\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u4f1a\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u4e3a(Political Behavior)\u671f\u520a\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5b66\u4f1a\u7684\u591a\u9879\u5956\u52b1\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

\u3010\u7f16\u8bd1\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u5170\u661f\u8fb0\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u7f16\u8bd1\u5458\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\uff09<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u3010\u5ba1\u8bfb\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u4e01\u4f1f\u822a<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u3010\u6392\u7248\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u738b\u56fd\u4f1f<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u3010\u6765\u6e90\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
HEALY, A., KOSEC, K., & MO, C. (2017). Economic Development, Mobility, and Political Discontent: An Experimental Test of Tocqueville\u2019s Thesis in Pakistan. American Political Science Review,111<\/em>(3),605-621. doi:10.1017\/S000305541700017X<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u671f\u520a\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\uff08American Political Science Review<\/span>, APSR\uff09\u521b\u520a\u4e8e1906\u5e74\u5e76\u7531\u5251\u6865\u5927\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e\u51fa\u7248\uff0c\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u9886\u57df\u6700\u5177\u6743\u5a01\u6027\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u671f\u520a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u5185\u5bb9\u5e7f\u6cdb\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u516c\u5171\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u6bd4\u8f83\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7b49\u3002\u6839\u636eJournal Citation Reports<\/span>\uff0c\u51762018<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u5b50\u4e3a3.895<\/span>\uff0c\u5728176<\/span>\u79cd\u653f\u6cbb\u79d1\u5b66\u7c7b\u671f\u520a\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5217\u7b2c7<\/span>\u4f4d\uff087\/176<\/span>\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff1a\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5bf9\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u68c0\u9a8c<\/span><\/strong><\/span>
<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

Economic Development, Mobility, and Political Discontent: An<\/span> <\/span>Experimental Test of Tocqueville\u2019s Thesis in Pakistan<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\u8bd1\u8005\u6ce8<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n


<\/p>\n

\u5728\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u65ad\u548c\u8bc6\u522b\u56e0\u679c\u673a\u5236\u65b9\u9762\u5177\u6709\u663e\u8457\u4f18\u52bf\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5728\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\u548c\u5e94\u7528\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u672c\u6587\u5728\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e0a\u6709\u8bf8\u591a\u5730\u65b9\u503c\u5f97\u5546\u69b7\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u5b9e\u9a8c\u65b9\u6cd5\u63d0\u4f9b\u5f88\u5927\u5e2e\u52a9\uff0c\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u8bfb\u8005\u8fd8\u53ef\u53c2\u8003\u672c\u6587\u7b2c\u4e09\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7b49\u5730\u5f00\u5c55\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\u6587\u7ae0\u5bfc\u8bfb<\/span><\/strong>
<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n

\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u4e8e<\/span>1856\u5e74\u5728\u5176\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u65e7\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5927\u9769\u547d\u300b\u4e2d\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u201c\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\u201d<\/span>(<\/span><\/span>Tocqueville\u2019s Thesis)\u3002\u8be5\u547d\u9898\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cd\u5e38\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u5373<\/span><\/span>\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6ede\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u589e\u5f3a\u53cd\u800c\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a<\/span>\u5f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u65f6\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u5e02\u6c11\u611f\u77e5\u5230\u63d0\u9ad8\u751f\u6d3b\u6807\u51c6\u7684\u6f5c\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u6b32\u671b<\/span>(<\/span><\/strong>aspiration)<\/strong>\u7684\u589e\u901f\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u589e\u901f\u66f4\u5feb\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u589e\u52a0\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u53cd\u800c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\u5f62\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b\u5316\u5e76\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u9762\u5bf9\u9762\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u8be5\u547d\u9898\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u63ed\u793a\u4e86<\/span>\u5728\u4f55\u79cd\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6269\u5c55\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u673a\u4f1a\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n


<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e00\u3001<\/strong>\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\u4e0e\u5f62\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n

<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u76f4\u89c9\u4e0a\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u51cf\u5c11\u4e86\u8d2b\u56f0\uff0c\u5e94\u8be5\u4f1a\u4f7f\u6c11\u4f17\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6295\u7968\u7406\u8bba\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5e02\u6c11\u4f1a\u5956\u52b1\uff08\u60e9\u7f5a\uff09\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6bd4\u8f83\u597d\uff08\u5dee\uff09\u7684\u6267\u653f\u8005\u3002<\/span>\u4f46\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u65f6\u5019\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u5728\u6df1\u5165\u7814\u7a76\u6cd5\u56fd\u5927\u9769\u547d\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u540e\uff0c\u6700\u65e9\u5728\u5176\u8457\u4f5c\u300a\u65e7\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0e\u5927\u9769\u547d\u300b\u91cc\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u53cd\u5e38\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u4ed6\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5728\u6cd5\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u6cd5\u56fd\u5927\u9769\u547d\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u6070\u6070\u662f\u5927\u9769\u547d\u524d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6700\u663e\u8457\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u975e\u5e38\u843d\u540e\u7684\u4fc4\u56fd\u5374\u6ca1\u6709\u7206\u53d1\u9769\u547d\u3002\u4f46\u4e0e\u5bf9\u6cd5\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u5728\u5185\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u5bb6\u5982\u674e\u666e\u585e\u7279\u3001\u5df4\u6797\u987f\u6469\u5c14\u3001\u5e03\u52b3<\/span>(<\/span>Blau)\u7b49\u4eba\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5374\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4e3b\u5236\u5ea6\u7684\u5de9\u56fa\u548c\u7a33\u5b9a\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u673a\u4f1a\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u7f8e\u6cd5\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u5dee\u5f02<\/span>\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e8e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u589e\u5f3a\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u60c5\u51b5\u548c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u671f\u671b\u57fa\u672c\u4e00\u81f4\uff0c\u800c\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u7ed3\u5408\u65e2\u6709\u6587\u732e<\/span>R<\/span>ay(2006)\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u7684\u547d\u9898\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a\u5f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7531\u4e8e\u611f\u77e5\u5230\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u589e\u5f3a\u800c\u8fc5\u731b\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6b32\u671b\u4e0e\u5176\u76ee\u524d\u8f83\u5dee\u7684\u73b0\u72b6\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u53cd\u5dee\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6b32\u671b\u5dee<\/span>(a<\/span>spiration gap)\u5c31\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4e0d\u6ee1\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d2b\u56f0\u611f\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u4eba\u4eec\u8d77\u521d\u7684\u6b32\u671b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u523b\u753b\u8fd9\u4e00\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u7b80\u6d01\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b\u52a0\u4ee5\u8bf4\u660e\u3002\u6a21\u578b\u9996\u5148\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u4e2a\u4f53<\/span>i<\/span>\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3<\/span><\/span>Ci<\/em>\u662f\u5b83\u7684\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u6536\u5165<\/span>y<\/em>i<\/span><\/sub><\/em>\u548c\u5b83\u671f\u671b\u7684\u6536\u5165<\/span>g<\/em>i<\/span><\/sub><\/em>\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u5047\u5b9a<\/span>g<\/em>i<\/span><\/sub><\/em>\u4e00\u5b9a\u4e0d\u5c0f\u4e8e<\/span>y<\/em>i<\/span><\/sub><\/em>\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e3a\u4e86\u7b80\u4fbf\u548c\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u901a\u5e38\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u8bbe\u5b9a\u4e3a\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u7684\u4e8c\u6b21\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u5373<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

\u540c\u65f6\u5047\u5b9a\u6536\u5165\u662f\u5728\u57fa\u51c6\u6536\u5165<\/span>y<\/span>0<\/span><\/sub>\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u968f\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027<\/span>m\u800c\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\uff0c<\/span>m<\/span>\u4e0d\u5c0f\u4e8e<\/span>0<\/span>\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u5141\u8bb8\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5747\u503c\u4e3a<\/span>0<\/span>\u7684\u6536\u5165\u51b2\u51fb\uff08<\/span><\/span>idiosyncratic income shock\uff09<\/span>u<\/span>i<\/span><\/sub>\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u548c\u673a\u4f1a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6536\u5165\u63d0\u9ad8\u548c\u4eba\u4eec\u5728\u6536\u5165\u5206\u5e03\u4e2d\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u66f4\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/span><\/span>\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86y\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u3002<\/span>\u800c<\/span>\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u4e2a\u4f53\u76ee\u6807\u6536\u5165\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u3002\u5373\u4e2a\u4f53\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u7531\u57fa\u51c6\u76ee\u6807g<\/span>0<\/span><\/sub>\uff0c\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4e0e\u57fa\u51c6\u7684\u5dee\u503c\u3001\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u6536\u5165\u4e0e\u4e2a\u4f53\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5dee\u503c\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u4e24\u4e2a\u5728(<\/span>0,1)<\/span>\u533a\u95f4\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u03b1\u548c\u03b2\u7684\u8c03\u8282\u8868\u660e\u76ee\u6807\u5177\u6709\u7c98\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u8c03\u6574\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e0e\u6536\u5165\u4ea6\u6b65\u4ea6\u8d8b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u63a8\u5bfc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f97\u5230\u5982\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u547d\u9898\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/span><\/section>\n
\u4e00\uff0c\u4e2a\u4f53\u975e\u7cfb\u7edf\u6536\u5165<\/span>u<\/span><\/strong>i<\/span><\/sub><\/strong>\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
\u4e8c\uff0c\u5f53\u4e14\u4ec5\u5f53<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u65f6\uff0c\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u968f\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u800c\u589e\u52a0<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n
\u4e09\uff0c\u5728\u9ad8\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u8d77\u521d\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u6536\u5165\u51cf\u5c11\u65f6\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u91cf\u66f4\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

\u628a<\/span>y\u548c<\/span>y<\/span><\/span>0<\/span><\/sub>\u4ee3\u5165<\/span>g\uff0c\u518d\u5206\u522b\u5bf9<\/span>u<\/span><\/span>i<\/span><\/sub>\u548c<\/span>m\u6c42\u4e00\u9636\u504f\u5bfc\uff0c\u6574\u7406\u4e4b\u540e\u4e00\u9636\u6761\u4ef6\u5373\u53ef\u8bc1\u660e\u547d\u9898\u4e00<\/span>\u3001\u4e8c\u6210\u7acb\u3002\u547d\u9898\u4e09\u5219\u901a\u8fc7\u5982\u4e0b\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u6c42<\/span>C\u5173\u4e8e<\/span>m<\/span>\u548c<\/span>u<\/span>\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u6df7\u5408\u504f\u5bfc\uff0c\u6587\u4e2d\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u8bc1\u660e\u601d\u8def\u662f\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\u6574\u7406\u4e4b\u540e\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u6df7\u5408\u504f\u5bfc\u5728\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u4e0a\u4e25\u683c\u9012\u589e\u8fdb\u800c\u5f97\u8bc1\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u4e3a\u4fbf\u4e8e\u8bfb\u8005\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u8bd1\u8005\u7b80\u5355\u5730\u7ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u7ed9\u5b9a\u53c2\u6570\u03b1\u53d60.6<\/span>\u3001\u03b2\u53d60.5<\/span>\uff0c\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u53d6\u4e0d\u540c\u503c\u65f6\u7684\u4e8c\u5143\u51fd\u6570\u6295\u5f71\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u9759\u6001\u7ed3\u679c\u56fe\u3002\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u6df1\u84dd\u81f3\u6df1\u7ea2\u8868\u793a\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7531\u5c0f\u53d8\u5927\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u660e\u663e\u7684\u770b\u5230\u5f53\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u6bd4\u8f83\u5927\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5de6\u56fe\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u660e\u663e\u5c0f\u4e8e\u53f3\u56fe\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e8c\u3001<\/span>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u68c0\u9a8c\u5f62\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e09\u4e2a\u547d\u9898\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u4e8e<\/span>2012\u5e74<\/span>3-4<\/span>\u6708\u548c<\/span>2013<\/span>\u5e74\u7684<\/span>4-5<\/span>\u6708\u5728\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u4e09\u4e2a\u7701<\/span>76<\/span>\u4e2a\u4e61\u6751<\/span>2090<\/span>\u6237\u5bb6\u5ead\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u4e24\u8f6e\u539f\u521b\u6027\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u641c\u96c6\u4e86\u6559\u80b2\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u3001\u6536\u5165\u7b49\u4eba\u53e3\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u548c\u4e2a\u4f53\u6b32\u671b\u3001\u6001\u5ea6\u548c\u8ba4\u77e5\u8fc7\u7a0b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u8f6e\u5219\u5177\u4f53\u5f00\u5c55\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u4e00\u5e74\u95f4\u9694\u597d\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\u6392\u9664\u4e86\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5904\u7406\u5f71\u54cd\u8c03\u8282\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u53e3\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u8fd0\u7528\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a<\/span>2<\/span><\/span> (poverty prime, no poverty prime) X 2 (mobility prime, no mobility prime)\u7684\u542f\u52a8<\/span>(<\/span>prime)\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5916\u751f\u64cd\u63a7\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eec\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d2b\u56f0\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u5411\u4e0a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u3002\u7136\u540e<\/span>\u89c2\u6d4b\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u542f\u52a8\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5355\u72ec\u5730\u4ee5\u53ca\u8054\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u5982\u4f55\u968f\u7740\u4e2a\u4f53\u8d77\u521d\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u800c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/strong>\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d2b\u56f0\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u7684\u64cd\u63a7\u6bd4\u8f83\u7cbe\u5999\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4f5c\u8005\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u4e2d\u77e5\u9053\u4e86\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u4e3a\u4fbf\u4e8e\u8bfb\u8005\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u5148\u8bbe\u60f3\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u6839\u636e\u771f\u5b9e\u5206\u5e03\u6b63\u5e38\u5206\u5272\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u865a\u76f4\u7ebf\u6240\u793a\u51e0\u4e2a\u6536\u5165\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u8be2\u95ee\u63a7\u5236\u7ec4\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5728\u54ea\u4e2a\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u3002\u4f46\u7ed9\u5904\u7406\u7ec4\u5c55\u793a\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u662f\u7c7b\u4f3c\u5982\u56fe\u5b9e\u76f4\u7ebf\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u4e5f\u8be2\u95ee\u5904\u7406\u7ec4\u7684\u6536\u5165\u5728\u54ea\u4e2a\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u5904\u7406\u7ec4\u7edd\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u7684\u6536\u5165\u90fd\u4f1a\u843d\u5728\u6570\u503c\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u5185\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u4f7f\u5904\u7406\u7ec4\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53<\/span>\u201c\u611f\u77e5\u201d\u5230\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u76f8\u5bf9\u8d2b\u56f0\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u5916\u751f\u64cd\u63a7\u4e2a\u4f53\u611f\u77e5\u7684\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6587\u732e\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u5728\u8be2\u95ee\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6001\u5ea6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u88ab\u8bd5\u4e2d\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u4eba\u88ab\u544a\u77e5<\/span>\u201c<\/span>OECD2012\u5e74\u7684\u5bf9<\/span>22<\/span>\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u66f4\u5f3a\uff0c\u4e2a\u4eba\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u63d0\u5347\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5730\u4f4d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u610f\u5927\u5229\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8fd8\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u3002<\/span>\u201d\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u542f\u52a8\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u8f6e\u8c03\u67e5\u4e2d\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e2a\u4f53\u6b32\u671b\u7684\u6d4b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u662f\u6839\u636e\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6587\u732e\uff0c\u4e2a\u4f53\u56de\u7b54\u6536\u5165\u3001\u8d22\u4ea7\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u56db\u4e2a\u7ef4\u5ea6\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u6743\u91cd\u3001\u5e0c\u671b\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u76ee\u524d\u8fbe\u6210\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4e2a\u4f53\u7684\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u53d7\u5230\u4ed6\u6240\u5728\u793e\u533a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5982\u4e0b\u5f0f\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u5bf9\u6b32\u671b\u7684\u6d4b\u5ea6\u5219\u5c06\u4e2a\u4f53\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u51cf\u53bb\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u533a\u7684\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u7684\u5747\u503c\u9664\u4ee5\u793e\u533a\u6b32\u671b\u5dee\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u5dee\u518d\u6839\u636e\u4e2a\u4f53\u7ed9\u4e88\u7684\u6743\u91cd\u52a0\u6743\u5e73\u5747\u5f97\u5230\u3002\u5bf9\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u653f\u5e9c\u4fe1\u5fc3\u7684\u6d4b\u5ea6\u6bd4\u8f83\u5e38\u89c4\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u8be2\u95ee\u4e2a\u4f53\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u6574\u4f53\u670d\u52a1\u793e\u533a\u670d\u52a1\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u6ee1\u610f\u5ea6\u3001\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u5fc3\u548c\u5bf9\u73b0\u884c\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e94\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff08\u53d8\u91cf\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1\u5177\u4f53\u53ef\u53c2\u8003\u539f\u6587\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u4e24\u4e2a\u5e26\u6709\u542f\u52a8\u6548\u5e94\u53ca\u5176\u4ea4\u4e92\u9879\u7684\u6700\u5c0f\u4e8c\u4e58\u56de\u5f52\uff08<\/span>O<\/span>LS\uff09\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e09\u4e2a\u547d\u9898\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u9a8c\u8bc1\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u547d\u9898\u7684\u51c6\u786e\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u548c\u542f\u52a8\u64cd\u63a7\u68c0\u9a8c\u4e5f\u4fdd\u8bc1\u4e86\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n

 <\/span>
<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
 <\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u4e09\u3001<\/strong>\u7ed3 \u8bba<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
 <\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

<\/section>\n

\u672c\u6587\u901a\u8fc7\u5f62\u5f0f\u6a21\u578b\u548c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\uff0c\u5bf9\u6709\u5173\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u6301\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u7684\u6587\u732e\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u548c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u6258\u514b\u7ef4\u5c14\u547d\u9898\u548c\u672c\u6587\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5feb\u901f\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u589e\u5f3a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u66f4\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u76f8\u5bf9\u5265\u593a\u611f\u7684\u7fa4\u4f53\u4f1a\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5e2e\u52a9\u6267\u653f\u8005\u907f\u514d\u56fd\u5bb6\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u54cd\u5e94\u6c11\u4f17\u8bc9\u6c42\u7684\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n


<\/span><\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u672c\u6587\u7531\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u72ec\u5bb6\u7f16\u8bd1\u63a8\u8350\uff0c\u6587\u7ae0\u89c2\u70b9\u4e0d\u4ee3\u8868\u672c\u5e73\u53f0\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u8f6c\u8f7d\u8bf7\u8054\u7cfb\u6388\u6743\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\u626b\u4e0b\u65b9\u4e8c\u7ef4\u7801\u67e5\u770b\u5f80\u671f\u7cbe\u5f69<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

\u3010\u91cd\u78c5\u9884\u544a\u3011\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u63a8\u51fa\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u5b66\u672f\u52a8\u6001\u901f\u9012\uff01<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u653f\u7b56\u8bc4\u8bba\u3011\u4fe1\u8a89\u4e4b\u540e\uff1a\u5ddd\u666e\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c301\u671f
<\/a><\/span><\/section>\n
\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u904f\u5236\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c302\u671f<\/a><\/span><\/section>\n

\u3010\u798f\u5229\u56fd\u5bb6\u3011\u798f\u5229\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u65b0\u653f\u6cbb\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c303\u671f<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u4e9a\u592a\u79e9\u5e8f\u3011\u533a\u57df\u8131\u94a9\uff1a\u53bb\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e9a\u592a\uff1f\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c304\u671f<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b9\u6cd5\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\u601d\u60f3\u6d41\u6d3e\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c305\u671f<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c12\u671f | International Affairs, Vol.95, No.6\uff0c2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c13\u671f|Chinese Journal of International Politics, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c14\u671f|Chinese Journal of International Politics, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c15\u671f | International Organization, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5206\u7c7b\u5bfc\u89c8 1<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n

\u5206\u7c7b\u5bfc\u89c8 2<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
 <\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n
\n

 \u70b9\u201c\u5728\u770b<\/span>\u201d\u7ed9\u6211\u4e00\u6735\u5c0f\u9ec4\u82b1\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n
\n
\n
\"\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

    
<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\n

\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\uff09\uff1a\u3010\u8c03\u67e5\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3011\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d41\u52a8\u6027\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u6ee1\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c306\u671f<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011 Andrew Hea<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15384,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[22,31],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15383"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15383"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15383\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15403,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15383\/revisions\/15403"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15384"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}