{"id":14239,"date":"2019-11-18T13:36:16","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:20:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/12\/30\/de4e193cb2\/"},"modified":"2019-12-30T17:21:00","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:21:00","slug":"de4e193cb2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/11\/18\/de4e193cb2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u89c2\u4f17\u6210\u672c\u3011\u90ed\u5168\u93a7 \u6c5f\u5fc6\u6069\uff1a\u8c01\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6b65\uff1f\u516c\u4f17\u53cd\u5bf9\u9634\u5f71\u4e0b\u7684\u5371\u9669\u964d\u7ea7 | \u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c280\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

Kai Quek\uff1a\u90ed\u5168\u93a7\uff0c\u9999\u6e2f\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u884c\u653f\u5b66\u7cfb\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u57f9\u517b\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u6218\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u3001\u5371\u673a\u5347\u7ea7\u4e0e\u964d\u7ea7\u7b49\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

Alastair lain Johnston\uff1a\u6c5f\u5fc6\u6069\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u54c8\u4f5b\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u5e9c\u7cfb\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u88ab\u8a89\u4e3a\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u65b0\u751f\u4ee3\u4e2d\u6700\u51fa\u8272\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\u201d\u3002\u6c5f\u5fc6\u6069\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u96c6\u4e2d\u4e8e\u793e\u4f1a\u5316\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u8eab\u4efd\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u6218\u7565\u6587\u5316\u7b49\uff0c\u5176\u4ee3\u8868\u4f5c\u6709\u300a\u793e\u4f1a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u4f53\u7cfb1980\uff0d2000\u300b\u3001\u300a\u6587\u5316\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e2d\u7684\u6218\u7565\u6587\u5316\u4e0e\u5927\u6218\u7565\u300b\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u3010<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u6765\u6e90<\/span><\/strong>\u3011<\/span><\/span><\/strong>Kai Quek and Alastair Iain Johnston,\u201cCan China Back Down? Crisis De-escalation in the Shadow of Popular Opos<\/span>p<\/span>ition\uff0c\u201dInternational Security<\/em>, Vol. 42, No. 3 (Winter 2017\/18), pp. 7\u201336.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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Can China Back<\/span> <\/span>Down?<\/span>
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1\u3001\u53d8\u91cf1\uff1a\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u3002<\/strong>\u4e0e\u5bf9\u7167\u7ec4\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u5728\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u4e0b\uff0c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e8611\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u5177\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u663e\u8457\u6027\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u53d8\u91cf1\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a3.70\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7167\u7ec4\u76843.24\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7a33\u5065\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u6709\u5e8flogit\u6a21\u578b\u4ee5\u4f30\u8ba1\u516c\u4f17\u652f\u6301\u4e0e\u5047\u8bbe\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u5982\u679c\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u88ab\u968f\u673a\u5206\u914d\u5230\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u5219\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u88ab\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a1\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u88ab\u5206\u914d\u5230\u5bf9\u7167\u7ec4\uff0c\u5219\u88ab\u7f16\u7801\u4e3a0\u3002\u6709\u5e8flogit\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u4ee5\u53ca\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u9644\u5f552\uff09\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u4e2d\u65e5\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u4f17\u662f\u613f\u610f\u63a5\u53d7\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u8c03\u89e3\u7684\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u7684\u8c03\u89e3\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8ba9\u6b65\u7684\u6210\u672c\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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3\u3001\u53d8\u91cf3\uff1a\u548c\u5e73\u7684\u89d2\u8272\u8ba4\u540c\u3002<\/strong>\u5728\u53d8\u91cf3\u4e2d\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u5bf9\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e869\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a3.60\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7167\u7ec4\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u5bf9\u5176\u89d2\u8272\u8ba4\u540c\u7684\u6784\u6210\u89c4\u8303\u5341\u5206\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5e38\u5728\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e2d\u5ba3\u79f0\u4e2d\u56fd\u70ed\u7231\u548c\u5e73\uff0c\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u51cf\u5c11\u8ba9\u6b65\u7684\u6210\u672c\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\"\u3010\u89c2\u4f17\u6210\u672c\u3011\u90ed\u5168\u93a7<\/p>\n

\u56fe<\/span>1 \u4e0d\u540c\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0b\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u652f\u6301\u7387<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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1\u3001\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u4e2d\u7684\u672c\u571f\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u4e0e\u975e\u672c\u571f\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c01\u671f | Review of International Studies  Vol.45, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c02\u671f | International Relations Vol.33, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c03\u671f | International Organization Vol.73, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c04\u671f | World Politics, Vol.71, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c05\u671f | European Journal of International Relations<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c06\u671f | Security Studies, Vol.28, No.4, 2019<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c07\u671f|International Security, Vol 44, No. 2, 2019 <\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c08\u671f| Cambridge Review of International Affairs,Vol.32,No.4<\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c09\u671f| International Relations of Asia-Pacific Vol.19,No.3<\/span><\/a>
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