{"id":14216,"date":"2019-11-15T14:01:50","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:20:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/12\/30\/6be1f97e3d\/"},"modified":"2019-12-30T17:20:45","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:20:45","slug":"6be1f97e3d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/11\/15\/6be1f97e3d\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u201c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u201d\u53d9\u4e8b\u5982\u4f55\u5851\u9020\u5927\u56fd\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u548c\u5e73\uff1f\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011<\/span><\/strong>Peter Gries\uff1a\u845b\u5c0f\u4f1f\uff0c\u66fc\u5f7b\u65af\u7279\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u4e3b\u4efb\uff0c\u66fc\u5f7b\u65af\u7279\u5927\u5b66\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4e13\u4e1a\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u653f\u6cbb\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u3002\u66fe\u51fa\u7248\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u600e\u6837\u5206\u5316\u81ea\u7531\u548c\u4fdd\u5b88\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u89c2\u300b\u3001\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\uff1a\u9a84\u50b2\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u300b\u7b49\u8457\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u3010<\/span><\/strong>\u7f16\u8bd1\u3011<\/span><\/strong>\u664b\u7389<\/span><\/p>\n

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\u3010<\/span><\/span>\u6765\u6e90<\/span><\/strong>\u3011<\/span><\/span><\/strong>Gries, P. , & Jing, Y. . (2019). Are the us and china fated to fight? how narratives of \u2018p<\/span>ow<\/span>er transition<\/span>\u2019shape great power war or peace.<\/span>Cambridge Review of International Affairs.<\/span><\/em>32(4), 456-482.(apa)<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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Are the US and China fated to fight? How narratives of \u2018power transition\u2019 shape great power war or peace<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u672c\u6587\u5219\u7740\u91cd\u4ece\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u51fa\u53d1\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u60c5\u5883\u201d \u6cd5\uff08person by situation\uff09(Ross and Nisbett 2011)\u63a2\u7a76\u5a92\u4f53\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u53d9\u4e8b\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2a\u4f53\u548c\u4e2a\u4f53\u95f4\u5bf9\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\uff08system-level power transitions\uff09 \u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u5373\u7740\u91cd\u7814\u7a76\uff081\uff09\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff08contingent\uff09\uff0c\uff082\uff09\u5f62\u6210\u8be5\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u56e0\u7d20\uff08psychological\uff09\uff0c\uff083\uff09\u8be5\u5f71\u54cd\u4ece\u5fae\u89c2\u3001\u4e2a\u4eba\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u660e\u76f4\u89c9\u5224\u65ad\uff08intuitive judgements\uff09\u548c\u7fa4\u9645\u60c5\u7eea\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u504f\u597d\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u51b3\u5b9a\u6218\u4e89\u6216\u548c\u5e73\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4e0d\u5728\u5c06\u56fd\u5bb6\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u4e00\u7684\u7406\u6027\u884c\u4e3a\u4e3b\u4f53\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u518d\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a2\u7a76\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u6027\u683c\u5dee\u5f02\u5982\u4f55\u8c03\u8282\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u53d9\u4e8b<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\uff08different <\/span>narratives <\/span>of <\/span>power <\/span>transition\uff09\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u8be5\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n

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International relations theories and US\u2013China power Transition   <\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
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\uff081\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u70ed\u70b9\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u201c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e4b\u95f4\u5c06\u662f\u5426\u53d1\u751f\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u201d\u53d8\u4e3a\u201c\u5c06\u4f1a\u4ee5\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u53d1\u751f\u8f6c\u79fb\u201d\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5c11\u6570\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u95f4\u7684\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5c06\u4f1a\u548c\u5e73\u8fdb\u884c\uff1b\u591a\u6570\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5fc5\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\uff082\uff09\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u65b0\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u7ed3\u6784\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u8fdb\u653b\u6027\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49\u7b49\uff09\u3001\u548c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u7406\u8bba\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5fc5\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\uff08deterministic\uff09\u3002\u4f46\u81ea\u7531\u5efa\u6784\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u5efa\u6784\u4e3b\u4e49\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e92\u8d56\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u80fd\u591f\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u7f8e\u548c\u5e73\u5730\u5b9e\u73b0\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u63d0\u4f9b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u3001\u5efa\u6784\u4e3b\u4e49\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5bf9\u201c\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u4f55\u5982\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u770b\u6cd5\u201d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u5bf9\u201c\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u201d\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7b49\u4e5f\u5f31\u5316\u4e86\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u5bf9\u51b2\u7a81\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\uff08less deterministic\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Social interdependence, intergroup trust and intergroup emotions  <\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n
\u793e\u4f1a\u4e92\u8d56\u3001 \u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u548c\u7fa4\u9645\u60c5\u7eea<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u793e\u4f1a\u4e92\u8d56\u7406\u8bba\uff08social interdependence\uff09\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u6218\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u5bfc\u81f4\u7ade\u4e89\u6216\u5408\u4f5c\u65f6\u7684\u4e24\u79cd\u4e0d\u540c\u5fc3\u7406\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u5373\u5f53\u793e\u4f1a\u4ea4\u6362\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002\u6b64\u5916\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u60c5\u5883\uff08situation\uff09\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6fc0\u53d1\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u5fc3\u6001\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u9645\u4ea4\u5f80\u4e2d\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5bfb\u6c42\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u548c\u5408\u4f5c(Rand et al 2014)\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u8bf8\u5982\u5927\u56fd\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u7fa4\u9645\u4ea4\u5f80\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fbe\u6210\u5408\u4f5c\u6bd4\u8f83\u56f0\u96be\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
\u7fa4<\/span>\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\uff08intergroup trust\uff09\u5373\u4e00\u4e2a\u79cd\u7fa4\u5bf9\u975e\u6211\u7684\u5176\u4ed6\u79cd\u7fa4\u62e5\u6709\u5584\u610f\u52a8\u673a\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u671f\u5f85(Mayeret al . 1995)\u3002\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u66f4\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5f62\u6210\u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\uff0c\u800c\u6d88\u6781\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u5219\u610f\u5473\u7740\u628a\u5176\u5b83\u79cd\u7fa4\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u672c\u79cd\u7fa4\u5b9e\u9645\u6216\u8c61\u5f81\u6027\u62e5\u6709\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u5a01\u80c1(Stephan and Stephan 2000)\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u5229\u4e8e\u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u7684\u53d1\u5c55(Williams 2001)\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u6ecb\u957f\u4e86\u8d1f\u9762\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u653e\u5927\u4e86\u7fa4\u9645\u51b2\u7a81(Cottrell and Neuberg 2005)\u3002\u800c\u4fe1\u4efb\u548c\u60c5\u611f\u90fd\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u76f4\u89c9\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u52a8\u673a\u9a71\u52a8\u4e0b\u7fa4\u9645\u5408\u4f5c\u6709\u5b9e\u73b0\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u5374\u6709\u8d56\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u60c5\u5883\u7ebf\u7d22\uff08situational cues\uff09\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6fc0\u6d3b\u5408\u4f5c\u5fc3\u6001\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u4e5f\u662f\u5176\u4e2d\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u7ebf\u7d22\u3002<\/span>\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a8\u6001\u53d1\u5c55\u53c8\u7531\u5df2\u5b58\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u8c03\u8282\u3002<\/span>\u56e0\u6b64\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5982\u4f55\u770b\u5f85\u5f7c\u6b64\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u65e2\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u4e5f\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u7ebf\u7d22\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5a92\u4f53\u5bf9\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u4e09\u3001<\/strong>\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1<\/strong><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5a92\u4f53\u53d9\u4e8b\u6709\u529b\u5730\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u770b\u6cd5(Price and Tewksbury 1997)\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u901a\u8fc7\u5411\u666e\u901a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6210\u5e74\u6c11\u4f17\u64ad\u653eCNN\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7Qualtrics\u751f\u6210\u5728\u7ebf\u95ee\u5377\u83b7\u53d6\u4ed6\u4eec\u89c2\u770b\u62a5\u9053\u4e4b\u540e\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u3002\u672c\u6587\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u9488\u5bf9\u666e\u901a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7fa4\u4f17\u800c\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u539f\u56e0\uff1a\uff081\uff09\u5728\u6c11\u4e3b\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u516c\u4f17\u8206\u8bba\u5341\u5206\u91cd\u8981\uff1a\u653f\u5ba2\u4f1a\u9488\u5bf9\u666e\u901a\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u6001\u5ea6\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\u4ee5\u8fce\u5408\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6001\u5ea6\u3002\uff082\uff09\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u666e\u901a\u516c\u6c11\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u8fc7\u7a0b\u6ca1\u6709\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u672c\u6587\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e3b\u6d41\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u8bba\u6240\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u53ef\u80fd\u6700\u7ec8\u63a8\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\u6216\u548c\u5e73\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u6001\u5ea6\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u79cd\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u800c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u53d9\u4e8b\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\u673a\u5236\u4e3a\u6b64\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5408\u7406\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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    \u5047\u8bbe\u4e09\uff08H3\uff09\uff1a\u5a92\u4f53\u6846\u67b6\uff08media framing\uff09\u548c\u4e3b\u89c2\u8ba4\u77e5\u5bf9\u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u548c\u7fa4\u9645\u60c5\u7eea\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u548c\u4e2a\u6027\u7279\u5f81\uff08personality\uff09\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\uff08\u8c03\u8282\u6548\u5e94\uff09<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.\u6750\u6599\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.1\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5bf9\u8c61\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u4e3a260\u540d\u7f8e\u56fd\u666e\u901a\u7fa4\u4f17\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5c06\u4efb\u4f55\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u5206\u6570\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u7f8e\u56fd\u6c11\u4f17\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5229\u7528\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\u968f\u673a\u5206\u914d\u6765\u63a2\u7a76\u53d9\u4e8b\u5bf9\u5851\u9020\u7fa4\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u3001\u7fa4\u9645\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u6548\u5e94\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u4e3a\u63d0\u9ad8\u56e0\u679c\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u666e\u904d\u6027\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u7684\u6027\u522b\u3001\u5730\u533a\u5206\u5e03\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u5c42\u6b21\u3001\u4eba\u79cd\u7ec4\u6210\u3001\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u515a\u6d3e\u60c5\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u63a7\u5236\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.2\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6750\u6599\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>4\u5219\u5305\u542b\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6761\u4ef6\u7684CNN\u62a5\u9053\u3002\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u9009\u62e9CNN\u800c\u4e0d\u9009\u62e9Fox\u65b0\u95fb\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff1aFox\u62a5\u9053\u7acb\u573a\u504f\u53f3\uff0c\u5c11\u6709\u5173\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u79ef\u6781\u4e00\u9762\u7684\u53ef\u4fe1\u62a5\u9053\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.3\u65b9\u6cd5\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u91c7\u7528 2\uff08framing\uff09x2\uff08focus\uff09\u6790\u56e0\u6d89\u53ca\u63a2\u7a76\u4e0d\u540c\u53d9\u4e8b\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Framing:\u8be5\u5219\u65b0\u95fb\u662f\u4ee5\u79ef\u6781\u8fd8\u662f\u96f6\u548c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Focus\uff1a\u8be5\u5219\u65b0\u95fb\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5185\u5bb9\u8fd8\u662f\u519b\u4e8b\u5185\u5bb9\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Qualtrics\u968f\u673a\u64ad\u653e1\u5219\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u586b\u5199\u95ee\u5377\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.4\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u64cd\u4f5c\u68c0\u67e5\uff0c\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf:<\/span><\/strong>\u95ee\u5377\u4e2d\uff081\uff09\u89c2\u770b\u65b0\u95fb\u540e\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff082\uff09\u65b0\u95fb\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u7126\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u4f1a\u5206\u522b\u7528\u4f5c\u64cd\u4f5c\u68c0\u67e5\uff0c\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\uff1b<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u4e2d\u4ecb\u53d8\u91cf:<\/span><\/strong>(1)\u5bf9\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u3001\u7f8e\u3001\u65e5\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u53ca\u5bf9\u56db\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u5ea6\uff082\uff09\u5bf9\u4e8e\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u611f\u89c9\u5982\u4f55\uff08\u5174\u8da3\u3001\u9ad8\u5174\u3001\u751f\u6c14\u3001\u6cae\u4e27\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u611f\u89c9\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\uff081\uff09\u5bf9\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u3001\u65e5\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5bf9\u534e\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u4e3a\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\uff082\uff09\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7206\u53d1\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8c03\u8282\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8861\u91cf\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u7684\u7231\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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2.\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\"\u3010\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u201c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u201d\u53d9\u4e8b\u5982\u4f55\u5851\u9020\u5927\u56fd\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u548c\u5e73\uff1f\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

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\u88681\u5c55\u73b0\u4e86\u96f6\u9636\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u89c2\u770b\u65b0\u95fb\u53d9\u4e8b\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ade\u4e89\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u4e0e\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u5ea6\u5448\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e0e\u5f3a\u786c\u7684\u5bf9\u534e\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7206\u53d1\u6218\u4e89\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5448\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u8bf4\u660e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u4e92\u8d56\uff08US\u2013China interdependence\uff09\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5a92\u4f53\u53d9\u4e8b\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u51b3\u5b9a\u7fa4\u4f53\u95f4\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u3001\u60c5\u611f\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d,\u9a8c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4e86H1,H2\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5b9e\u9a8c2\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u5b9e\u9a8c2\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u3002\uff081\uff09\u4e3a\u5728\u5b9e\u9a8c1\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u589e\u5f3a\u56e0\u679c\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u666e\u904d\u6027\uff0c\u672c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u589e\u5f3a\u4e86\u6837\u672c\u7684\u5730\u57df\u591a\u6837\u6027\u3002\uff082\uff09\u7814\u7a761\u4e2d\u4ee5\u519b\u4e8b\u4e3a\u91cd\u70b9\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u7247\u6bb5\u5dee\u5f02\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u6545\u7814\u7a762\u5c06\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6750\u6599\u9650\u5236\u5728\u66f4\u591a\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u805a\u7126\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u5185\u5728\u6709\u6548\u6027\u3002\uff083\uff09\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a2\u8ba8\u5176\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u8c03\u8282\u4e2d\u4ecb\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u5373\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49 (\u4e0e\u7814\u7a761\u6240\u68c0\u9a8c\u7684\u7231\u56fd\u4e3b\u4e49\u76f8\u6bd4)\u6216\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u89c4\u907f\u7684\u4e2a\u4f53\u5dee\u5f02\u662f\u5426\u4f1a\u8c03\u8282\u5a92\u4f53\u53d9\u4e8b\u5bf9\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u62a5\u9053\u6548\u679c\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.\u6750\u6599\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.1\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5bf9\u8c61\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u6709\u6548\u6837\u672c\u4e3a129\u540d\u7f8e\u56fd\u666e\u901a\u7fa4\u4f17\uff0c\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9a8c1\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u7684\u6027\u522b\u3001\u5730\u533a\u5206\u5e03\u3001\u5e74\u9f84\u5c42\u6b21\u3001\u4eba\u79cd\u7ec4\u6210\u3001\u53d7\u6559\u80b2\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3001\u515a\u6d3e\u60c5\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u628a\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u5730\u533a\u4ece23\u4e2a\u5dde\u589e\u81f332\u4e2a\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.2\u5b9e\u9a8c\u6750\u6599\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u5b9e\u9a8c1\u6750\u6599\u4e2d\u7684\u805a\u7126\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e24\u5219CNN\u65b0\u95fb\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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1.3\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1a<\/span><\/strong><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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Qualtrics\u968f\u673a\u64ad\u653e1\u5219\u65b0\u95fb\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u586b\u5199\u95ee\u5377\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u64cd\u4f5c\u68c0\u67e5\uff0c\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u548c\u534f\u53d8\u91cf:<\/span><\/strong>\u89c2\u770b\u65b0\u95fb\u540e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ade\u4e89\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u5206\uff0c\u8be5\u8bc4\u5206\u7528\u4f5c\u64cd\u4f5c\u68c0\u67e5\uff0c\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4e5f\u7528\u4f5c\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u7684\u534f\u53d8\u91cf\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u4e2d\u4ecb\u53d8\u91cf:<\/span><\/strong>\uff081\uff09<\/span>\u5bf9\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u3001\u7f8e\u3001\u65e5\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u53ca\u56db\u56fd\u4eba\u6c11\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u7684\u4fe1\u4efb\u5ea6\uff082\uff09\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u611f\u5230\u5f00\u5fc3\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5982\u4f55\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\uff081\uff09\u5bf9\u4e2d\u3001\u4fc4\u3001\u65e5\uff08\u968f\u673a\u987a\u5e8f\u51fa\u73b0\uff09\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\uff082\uff09\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7206\u53d1\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8c03\u8282\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/span><\/strong>\u4ee5\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u597d\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d\u548c\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f53\u5236\u4f18\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u201d (Kosterman and Feshbach 1989)\u4e24\u9879\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u53d7\u6d4b\u8005\u5df2\u5b58\u7684\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002\u4ee5\u201c\u4e0e\u975e\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u66f4\u559c\u6b22\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u201d\u3001\u201c\u66f4\u559c\u6b22\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u6307\u793a\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5bbd\u6cdb\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u65b9\u9488\u201d\u7b49\u56db\u9879\uff08Jung and Kellaris 2004)\u8861\u91cf\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u89c4\u907f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c01\u671f | Review of International Studies  Vol.45, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c02\u671f | International Relations Vol.33, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c03\u671f | International Organization Vol.73, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c04\u671f | World Politics, Vol.71, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c05\u671f | European Journal of International Relations<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c06\u671f | Security Studies, Vol.28, No.4, 2019<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\uff09\uff1a\u3010\u4e2d\u7f8e\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u201c\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u201d\u53d9\u4e8b\u5982\u4f55\u5851\u9020\u5927\u56fd\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u548c\u5e73\uff1f\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011Peter Gries<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14217,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[24,26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14216"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14216"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14216\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14228,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14216\/revisions\/14228"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14217"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14216"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14216"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14216"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}