{"id":14170,"date":"2019-11-05T14:01:50","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:20:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/12\/30\/93ab0ea14a\/"},"modified":"2019-12-30T17:20:10","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:20:10","slug":"93ab0ea14a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/11\/05\/93ab0ea14a\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u672b\u65e5\u56de\u5f52\uff1a\u9762\u5bf9\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6838\u6b66\u7ade\u8d5b\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5e94\u5f53\u5982\u4f55\u963b\u6b62\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c271\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Ernest J. Moniz<\/span><\/strong>\u662f\u6838\u5a01\u80c1\u5021\u8bae\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08NTI\uff09\u8054\u5408\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u3001\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u5e2d\u517c\u9996\u5e2d\u6267\u884c\u5b98\uff0c2013-2017\u5e74\u4efb\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u90e8\u957f\u3002Sam Nunn\u662f\u6838\u5a01\u80c1\u5021\u8bae\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08NTI\uff09\u8054\u5408\u4e3b\u5e2d\uff0c\u524d\u4f50\u6cbb\u4e9a\u5dde\u53c2\u8bae\u5458\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

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Ernest J. Moniz, Sam Nunn, “The Return of Doomsday\u2014\u2014The New Nuclear Arms Race-and How Washington and Moscow Can Stop It,” Foreign Affairs<\/em>, Vol.98 Issue4, 2019, pp.150-161.<\/span><\/p>\n

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T<\/span>he<\/span> Return of Doomsday<\/span>\u2014\u2014T<\/span><\/span>he New Nuclear Arms Race-and How Washington and Moscow Can Stop It<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u60f3\u672c\u5e94\u5c5e\u4e8e\u51b7\u6218\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u5c31\u5f53\u524d\u5c40\u52bf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5176\u4ecd\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u57fa\u672c\u8981\u7d20\u90fd\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u53ea\u5dee\u4e00\u6839\u70b9\u71c3\u706b\u836f\u6876\u7684\u5bfc\u706b\u7d22\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u6570\u5341\u5e74\u7684\u88c1\u519b\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u4fc4\u53cc\u65b9\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a90%\u7684\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u2014\u20148000\u591a\u4e2a\u6838\u5f39\u5934\uff0c\u8fd9\u8db3\u4ee5\u591a\u6b21\u6467\u6bc1\u5bf9\u65b9\u751a\u81f3\u6574\u4e2a\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u8fd1\u6765\uff0c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u6001\u52bf\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u7565\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff08Strategic stability\uff09\uff0c<\/strong>\u5b83\u5305\u62ec\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5f97\u4ee5\u5728\u548c\u5e73\u65f6\u671f\u7a33\u5b9a\u53cc\u65b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u6218\u7565\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0e\u907f\u514d\u6b63\u9762\u6838\u4ea4\u950b\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\u3001\u673a\u5236\u4e0e\u534f\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u907f\u514d\u9996\u5148\u4f7f\u7528\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u800c\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6b66\u5668\u90e8\u7f72\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u9664\u4e86\u519b\u63a7\u6761\u7ea6\u5931\u6548\u3001\u4ea4\u6d41\u6e20\u9053\u5173\u95ed\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u51b7\u6218\u7684\u65e7\u5f0f\u6838\u6001\u52bf\u6301\u7eed\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u53c8\u589e\u6dfb\u4e86\u7f51\u7edc\u7a7a\u95f4\u5a01\u80c1\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u5c55\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5747\u8bc1\u5b9e\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4e4b\u95f4\u5df2\u5904\u4e8e\u6218\u7565\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4e2a\u610f\u5916\u90fd\u5c06\u5f15\u53d1\u4e00\u573a\u5927\u707e\u96be\uff0c\u800c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5bf9\u6b64\u719f\u89c6\u65e0\u7779\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u9700\u8981\u5171\u540c\u963b\u6b62\u8fd9\u4e00\u707e\u96be\u7684\u7206\u53d1\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u53cc\u65b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u91cd\u5efa\u5bf9\u8bdd\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u7ba1\u63a7\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u6838\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\u5c3d\u529b\u5408\u4f5c\uff0c\u6765\u91cd\u65b0\u6784\u5efa\u5176\u6218\u7565\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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2008\u5e74\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5165\u4fb5\u683c\u9c81\u5409\u4e9a\u52a0\u6df1\u7f8e\u5bf9\u4fc4\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\u611f\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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2002\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u9000\u51fa\u300a\u53cd\u5bfc\u6761\u7ea6\u300b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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5\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5ba3\u5e03\u6682\u505c\u5c65\u884c\u300a\u6b27\u6d32\u5e38\u89c4\u6b66\u88c5\u529b\u91cf\u6761\u7ea6\u300b\u3002<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\uff08\u7f16\u8bd1\u8005\u6ce8\uff1a<\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c01\u671f | Review of International Studies  Vol.45, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c02\u671f | International Relations Vol.33, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c03\u671f | International Organization Vol.73, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c04\u671f | World Politics, Vol.71, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c05\u671f | European Journal of International Relations<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c06\u671f | Security Studies, Vol.28, No.4, 2019<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u70b9\u201c\u5728\u770b<\/span>\u201d\u7ed9\u6211\u4e00\u6735\u5c0f\u9ec4\u82b1\"\u3010\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u672b\u65e5\u56de\u5f52\uff1a\u9762\u5bf9\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6838\u6b66\u7ade\u8d5b\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5e94\u5f53\u5982\u4f55\u963b\u6b62\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\uff09\uff1a\u3010\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5173\u7cfb\u3011\u672b\u65e5\u56de\u5f52\uff1a\u9762\u5bf9\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u6838\u6b66\u7ade\u8d5b\uff0c\u7f8e\u4fc4\u5e94\u5f53\u5982\u4f55\u963b\u6b62\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c271\u671f<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011 Ernest J. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14171,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[24,26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14170"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14170"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14170\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14180,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14170\/revisions\/14180"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14171"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14170"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14170"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14170"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}