{"id":14147,"date":"2019-11-01T14:00:50","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:19:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/12\/30\/b6a2546cba\/"},"modified":"2019-12-30T17:19:56","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T09:19:56","slug":"b6a2546cba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/11\/01\/b6a2546cba\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9738\u6743\u6218\u7565\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c269\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Daniel W. Drezner<\/span><\/strong>\uff0c\u5854\u592b\u8328\u5927\u5b66\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u4ea4\u6d41\u548c\u516c\u5171\u5916\u4ea4\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u91d1\u878d\u548c\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u6cd5\u548c\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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Daniel W. Drezner (2019) Counter-Hegemonic Strategies in the Global Economy, <\/span>Security Studies<\/em>, 28:3, 505-531, DOI: 10.1080\/09636412.2019.1604985<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5b89\u5168\u7814\u7a76\uff08Security Studies\uff09\uff0c\u671f\u520a\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u520a\u8f7d\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u9886\u57df\u6709\u9769\u65b0\u6027\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ee5\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u8ba8\u8bba\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u4e3b\u30022018\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u5b501.706\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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Daniel W. Drezner<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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2008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u673a\u6311\u6218\u4e86\u51b7\u6218\u4e4b\u540e\u786e\u7acb\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5173\u4e8e\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u79e9\u5e8f\u672a\u6765\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002\u5728\u5371\u673a\u540e\u7684\u5341\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6cbb\u7406\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u5168\u7403\u5b89\u5168\u79e9\u5e8f\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u6311\u6218\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u6b63\u5982\u585e\u5df4\u65af\u8482\u5b89\u2022\u9a6c\u62c9\u6bd4 (Sebastian Mallaby) \u57282016\u5e74\u5e95\u6240\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u5f00\u653e\u578b\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6301\u7eed\u4e86\u4e0b\u6765\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u505c\u6ede\u6216\u9006\u8f6c\u3002\u201c\u4e0e\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6216\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u5bf9\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u63a5\u53d7\u5ea6\u867d\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f46\u5374\u5e7f\u6cdb\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e2d\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u5e76\u4e0d\u7b49\u540c\u4e8e\u8bd5\u56fe\u4fee\u6b63\u8be5\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u7406\u5ff5\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u5728\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u8fb9\u7f18\u8fdb\u884c\u4fee\u8865\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5b58\u7684\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u4fdd\u7559\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u89c2\u5bdf\u4eba\u58eb\u8fd8\u662f\u5bf9\u5371\u673a\u540e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u4e3e\u63aa\u52a0\u5927\u4e86\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e3e\u63aa\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u4e2d\u7f8e\u6743\u529b\u8f6c\u79fb\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002<\/p>\n

2008\u5e74\u540e\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u8fc7\u4e8e\u72ed\u9698\u5730\u805a\u7126\u5728\u6709\u5173\u5927\u56fd\u76f8\u5bf9\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e89\u8bba\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u6982\u5ff5\u5c42\u6b21\u4e0a\u66f4\u52a0\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u4f20\u7edf\u4e0a\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u4e00\u573a\u660e\u663e\u6539\u53d8\u56fd\u9645\u6743\u529b\u5206\u914d\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u6218\u4e89\u7ed3\u675f\u7684\uff0c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u79cd\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u8bd5\u56fe\u98a0\u8986\u6216\u53d6\u4ee3\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f?<\/p>\n


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\u4e8c\u3001\u7406\u6027\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u601d\u8003<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7406\u8bba\u5bb6\u5173\u4e8e\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u5426\u6b63\u5728\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6b21\u91cd\u8981\u8ba8\u8bba\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4e0a\u4e16\u7eaa80\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u3002\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u201c\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\u201d\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u5b66\u8005\u4e2d\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u4e89\u8bba\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u548c\u73b0\u5728\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u4e89\u8bba\u7684\u7126\u70b9\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u7684\u610f\u56fe\u548c\u80fd\u529b\u4e0a\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u82cf\u73ca\u2022\u65af\u7279\u5170\u5947 (Susan Strange) \u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u539f\u59cb\u8d44\u672c\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u6307\u6807\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u6743\u529b\u6027\u8d28\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65af\u7279\u5170\u5947\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u7ed3\u6784\u529b\u91cf\u9700\u8981\u8003\u5bdf\u7684\u56db\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u652f\u67f1\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u5728\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u63d0\u4f9b\u5b89\u5168\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u80fd\u591f\u7834\u574f\u73b0\u6709\u5b89\u5168\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u5c31\u5f88\u96be\u7ef4\u6301\u6709\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u8de8\u5883\u4ea4\u6d41\u6a21\u5f0f\uff0c\u5728\u516c\u6d77\u7684\u63a0\u593a\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u9886\u7a7a\u4e89\u8bae\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u6218\u6216\u65e0\u507f\u6ca1\u6536\u5916\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u90fd\u4f1a\u52a0\u5927\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u4efb\u4f55\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u652f\u67f1\u662f\u201c\u63a7\u5236\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u751f\u4ea7\u4f53\u7cfb\u201d\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u7ef4\u6301\u5bf9\u751f\u4ea7\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u4e00\u79cd\u9014\u5f84\u662f\u63a7\u5236\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u5bf9\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u6216\u6295\u8d44\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u5c06\u8feb\u4f7f\u4ed6\u4eec\u6539\u53d8\u5168\u7403\u5546\u4e1a\u6218\u7565\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6539\u53d8\u89c4\u5219\u4e5f\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5206\u914d\u7ed3\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u6839\u636e\u65af\u7279\u5170\u5947\u7684\u63a8\u8bba\uff0c\u5bf9\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u601d\u60f3\u7b49\u89c4\u5219\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u548c\u7ba1\u7406\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u5bf9\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u3002\u81ea\u6b21\u8d37\u5371\u673a\u7206\u53d1\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5c31\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u652f\u6301\u8005\u662f\u5426\u7ef4\u6301\u4e86\u65b0\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u79e9\u5e8f\u5c55\u5f00\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002\u4e00\u4e9b\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u5371\u673a\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u652f\u6301\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5171\u8bc6\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u96c6\u56e2\uff08historic bloc\uff09\u7684\u7269\u8d28\u548c\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u5e76\u52a9\u957f\u4e86\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u52bf\u529b\u3002\u82e5\u7684\u786e\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u65af\u7279\u5170\u5947\u6240\u6982\u8ff0\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u7ed3\u6784\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u6b63\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u524d\u6587\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u5173\u4e8e\u4ece\u4e00\u79cd\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u548c\u5e73\u8f6c\u5411\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u8d44\u6599\u975e\u5e38\u5c11\u3002\u6216\u8bb8\u7528\u65af\u7279\u5170\u5947\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7ef4\u5ea6\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u771f\u6b63\u5a01\u80c1\u5230\u5de9\u56fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u7ef4\u5ea6\u662f\u6709\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n


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\u4e09\u3001\u7406\u6027\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u4f1a\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u5b50\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u6234\u7ef4\u00b7\u57c3\u5fb7\u5c14\u65af\u5766 (David M. Edelstein)\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u5c06\u5bc6\u5207\u5173\u6ce8\u5d1b\u8d77\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u610f\u56fe\u548c\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\uff1a\u201c\u5d1b\u8d77\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u56fd\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u8d8a\u5177\u6709\u6311\u8845\u6027\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u957f\u671f\u610f\u56fe\u5c31\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u3002\u73b0\u6709\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u5c06\u4f1a\u8c28\u614e\u5bdf\u89c9\u4efb\u4f55\u6f5c\u5728\u6311\u6218\u8be5\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u4e3e\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u4e4b\u505a\u51fa\u8fc7\u6fc0\u53cd\u5e94\u3002\u652f\u6301\u8005\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u8bb8\u591a\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u6f5c\u5728\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u201c\u865a\u5047\u8a00\u8bba\u201d\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5e76\u975e\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u5e94\u8be5\u628a\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u5f15\u5bfc\u5230\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u8d77\u9738\u6743\u652f\u6301\u8005\u8d1f\u9762\u53cd\u5e94\u7684\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u4e3a\u4e86\u6700\u5927\u9650\u5ea6\u5730\u589e\u52a0\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u4ee5\u4e00\u79cd\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\uff0c\u4f7f\u4ee4\u73b0\u6709\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u652f\u6301\u8005\u653e\u677e\u6212\u5907\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u8fdb\u884c\u6311\u6218\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u9738\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u652f\u6301\u8005\u5df2\u5f00\u59cb\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u82d7\u5934\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4ed6\u77ed\u671f\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u4f1a\u4f7f\u652f\u6301\u8005\u628a\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u4ece\u957f\u671f\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0a\u79fb\u5f00\u3002\u8fd9\u4e3a\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u6cbb\u56fd\u65b9\u7565\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6307\u5bfc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u51b3\u5b9a\u5efa\u7acb\u56fd\u9645\u5236\u5ea6\u6765\u6ee1\u8db3\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u504f\u597d\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u9996\u5148\u5173\u6ce8\u4fe1\u606f\u548c\u601d\u60f3\u3002\u5b89\u5168\u6216\u91d1\u878d\u79e9\u5e8f\u5e94\u8be5\u662f\u6700\u540e\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u9886\u57df\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u903b\u8f91\u57fa\u4e8e\u54ea\u4e9b\u79e9\u5e8f\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5728\u5371\u673a\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u6743\u529b\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u53ef\u66ff\u4ee3\u6027\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002\u65f6\u95f4\u8303\u56f4\u5f88\u77ed\uff0c\u80fd\u591f\u627f\u62c5\u7684\u6743\u529b\u79cd\u7c7b\u4e5f\u5f88\u6709\u9650\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6bcf\u4e00\u9879\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6743\u529b\u652f\u67f1\u90fd\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u4f46\u5b89\u5168\u4e0e\u91d1\u878d\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u5371\u673a\u65f6\u523b\u80fd\u591f\u66f4\u5feb\u90e8\u7f72\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u9738\u6743\u4e3b\u4e49\u652f\u6301\u8005\u5c06\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6743\u529b\u7ef4\u5ea6\u66f4\u52a0\u654f\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\u56db\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u8bbe\u8ba1<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u4f5c\u8005\u901a\u8fc7\u4e09\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u6bd4\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u603b\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u51c0\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u533a\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5bf9\u5927\u56fd\u7ade\u4e89\u6848\u4f8b\u8fdb\u884c\u68c0\u9a8c\u3002\u9009\u53d6\u6848\u4f8b\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u662f\u4e24\u4e2a\u5927\u56fd\u957f\u671f\u7ade\u4e89\uff0c\u4e14\u4e00\u56fd\u5728\u603b\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0a\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u56fd\u5728\u51c0\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0a\u5360\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u5927\u91cf\u6570\u636e\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6307\u6807\uff08GDP\u3001CINC\u3001GDP\u00d7\u4eba\u5747GDP\uff09\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u56fd\u9645\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u6218\u4e89\u7ed3\u679c\u65f6\u7684\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u7528\u4e09\u79cd\u8861\u91cf\u6307\u6807\u590d\u5236\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u6d4b\u7b97\u4e09\u79cd\u6307\u6807\u7684\u6837\u672c\u5185\u9002\u5408\u5ea6\uff08In-sample goodness-of-fit\uff09\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6307\u6807\u7684\u9002\u5408\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u5c31\u80fd\u5bb9\u7eb3\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6570\u636e\u65b9\u5dee\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5b66\u8005\u5e94\u91c7\u7528\u9002\u5408\u5ea6\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002<\/p>\n


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\u4e94\u3001\u7ee7\u7eed\u53c2\u4e0e\u73b0\u5b58\u9738\u6743\u79e9\u5e8f<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5728\u9738\u6743\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u7ed3\u6784\u652f\u67f1\u4e2d\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u9886\u57df\u662f\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u5c06\u6700\u9700\u8981\u53c2\u4e0e\u7684\u73b0\u6709\u6cbb\u7406\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u91d1\u878d\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u4f53\u5236\u6781\u5176\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u76f8\u4e92\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e0d\u80fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u79ef\u6781\u53c2\u4e0e\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5c31\u4f1a\u6bd4\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u6240\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u66f4\u65e9\u53d1\u51fa\u4fee\u6b63\u4e3b\u4e49\u76ee\u6807\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5b89\u5168\u673a\u5236\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u673a\u5236\u90fd\u6ca1\u6709\u8fd9\u4e48\u5927\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3002\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9886\u57df\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e5f\u5c31\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e3a\u5947\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n


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\u6bcf\u4e00\u79cd\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6743\u529b\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u90fd\u5177\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u548c\u6392\u4ed6\u6027\u3002\u5177\u6709\u8bbd\u523a\u610f\u5473\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u4f7f\u751f\u4ea7\u6210\u4e3a\u6700\u4e0d\u53d7\u6392\u65a5\u7684\u7ef4\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5927\u8427\u6761\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u9738\u6743\u884c\u4e3a\u4f53\u5e0c\u671b\u4fdd\u7559\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f00\u653e\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u7b49\u642d\u4fbf\u8f66\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f97\u4ee5\u63d0\u9ad8\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u975e\u5173\u7a0e\u58c1\u5792\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06\u62a5\u590d\u6216\u6392\u65a5\u7684\u540e\u679c\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u601d\u60f3\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u662f\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u516c\u5171\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u5f88\u96be\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u79c1\u4eba\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002\u77e5\u8bc6\u4ea7\u6743\u7684\u521b\u9020\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u52aa\u529b\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u9650\u5236\u3002\u7684\u786e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u601d\u60f3\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u4f20\u64ad\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6392\u65a5\u3002<\/section>\n
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\u3010\u91cd\u78c5\u9884\u544a\u3011\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u63a8\u51fa\u9876\u7ea7\u671f\u520a\u5b66\u672f\u52a8\u6001\u901f\u9012\uff01<\/span><\/a>
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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c01\u671f | Review of International Studies  Vol.45, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c02\u671f | International Relations Vol.33, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a>
<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c03\u671f | International Organization Vol.73, No.3, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c04\u671f | World Politics, Vol.71, No.4, 2019<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c05\u671f | European Journal of International Relations<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u65b0\u520a\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7b2c06\u671f | Security Studies, Vol.28, No.4, 2019<\/a> <\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u5206\u7c7b\u5bfc\u89c8 1<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\"\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9738\u6743\u6218\u7565\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u5206\u7c7b\u5bfc\u89c8 2<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u70b9\u201c\u5728\u770b<\/span>\u201d\u7ed9\u6211\u4e00\u6735\u5c0f\u9ec4\u82b1\"\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9738\u6743\u6218\u7565\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\"\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9738\u6743\u6218\u7565\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n
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\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\uff09\uff1a\u3010\u9738\u6743\u7814\u7a76\u3011\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e2d\u7684\u53cd\u9738\u6743\u6218\u7565\u4e28\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba \u7b2c269\u671f<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4f5c\u54c1\u7b80\u4ecb \u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011 Daniel W. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14148,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[24,26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14147"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14147"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14147\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14158,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14147\/revisions\/14158"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14148"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}