{"id":13266,"date":"2019-05-10T14:01:50","date_gmt":"2019-12-30T08:59:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/12\/30\/6457ae284c\/"},"modified":"2019-12-30T16:59:19","modified_gmt":"2019-12-30T08:59:19","slug":"6457ae284c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/115.238.178.234:8090\/index.php\/2019\/05\/10\/6457ae284c\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"
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\u7b80  \u4ecb<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u3010\u4f5c\u8005\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>Chia-yi Lee<\/span>\uff0c\u674e\u4f73\u6021\u535a\u58eb\u662f\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u5357\u6d0b\u7406\u5de5\u5927\u5b66\u62c9\u60f9\u52d2\u5357\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u5b66\u9662\uff08<\/span>S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, RSIS<\/span>\uff09\u7684\u52a9\u7406\u6559\u6388\u3002\u5979\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u5229\u7528\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5b9a\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u5206\u6790\u5916\u90e8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0e\u56fd\u5185\u653f\u6cbb\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\uff0c\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5916\u56fd\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u6050\u6016\u4e3b\u4e49\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010<\/span>\u7f16\u8bd1\u3011<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u6768\u6d0b<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u6821\u5bf9\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u9648\u821c\u6ce2<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u5ba1\u6838\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u5218\u745b\u741b<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u6765\u6e90\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>Lee, Chia-yi (2019) China\u2019s Energy Diplomacy: Does Chinese Foreign Policy Favor Oil-Producing Countries?. Foreign Policy<\/span>Analysis, doi: 10.1093\/fpa\/orz011<\/span><\/p>\n

\u3010\u671f\u520a\u3011<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5206\u6790\u300b\uff08<\/span>Foreign Policy Analysis\uff09\u6742\u5fd7\u662f\u7531<\/span><\/span>\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u51fa\u7248\u793e<\/span>\u4ee3\u8868<\/span>\u56fd\u9645\u7814\u7a76\u534f\u4f1a<\/span>\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u5b63\u520a\u3002\u8be5\u671f\u520a\u65e8\u5728\u4ee5\u6bd4\u8f83\u6216\u5177\u4f53\u6848\u4f8b\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7814\u7a76\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3001\u6548\u679c\u3001\u539f\u56e0\u6216\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c<\/span>2017\u5e74\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u5b50\u4e3a<\/span>1.386<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n

China’s Energy Diplomacy: Does Chinese Foreign Policy Favor Oil-Producing Countries?<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n


<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\u674e\u4f73\u6021\uff08<\/span>Chia-yi Lee\uff09<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n


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\u5185\u5bb9\u63d0\u8981<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n


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\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

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\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>1\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0e\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5efa\u7acb\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>2\uff1a<\/span><\/span><\/strong>\u4e2d\u56fd\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5411\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u63f4\u52a9\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u662f\u5bf9\u5916\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u5bf9\u5916\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7ecf\u5408\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5b98\u65b9\u53d1\u5c55\u63f4\u52a9\uff08<\/span>ODA\uff09\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u6d88\u9664\u8d2b\u56f0\u3001\u4fc3\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u6216\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6c11\u4e3b\u6539\u9769\u800c\u5411\u6b20\u53d1\u8fbe\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u53d1\u5c55\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5916\u56fd\u63f4\u52a9\u6216<\/span>ODA<\/span>\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u89e3\u51b3\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u91cf\u6587\u732e\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u897f\u65b9\u63f4\u52a9\u6350\u52a9\u8005\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u5411\u5176\u76df\u56fd\u6216\u6218\u7565\u670b\u53cb\u63d0\u4f9b\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5411\u771f\u6b63\u9700\u8981\u63f4\u52a9\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u63f4\u52a9\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u662f\u4f20\u7edf\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\u7684<\/span>ODA<\/span>\u65bd\u63f4\u56fd\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f7f\u5176\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u4e2d\u6210\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u65bd\u63f4\u56fd\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u63f4\u52a9\u6d41\u5411\u4e86\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f1a\u6839\u636e\u5176\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u80fd\u6e90\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u8003\u91cf\u5411\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u63f4\u52a9\u6216\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u8d37\u6b3e\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5047\u8bbe3\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u5c42\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u80fd\u6e90\u8d44\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c55\u5f00\u8bbf\u95ee\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u6240\u8003\u8651\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u9879\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u662f\u9996\u8111\u8bbf\u95ee\u3002\u9996\u8111\u8bbf\u95ee\u901a\u5e38\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u5916\u63f4\u52a9\u3001\u6295\u8d44\u627f\u8bfa\u4ee5\u53ca\u5404\u79cd\u534f\u8bae\u7684\u7b7e\u7f72\u3002\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u9996\u8111\u8bbf\u95ee\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u6700\u9ad8\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u504f\u597d\u548c\u503e\u5411\uff0c\u5b83\u4ee3\u8868\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u4f18\u5148\u5bf9\u8c61\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u5c42\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u9891\u7e41\u5730\u8bbf\u95ee\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u66f4\u613f\u610f\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u63a5\u89e6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\n
2
<\/strong><\/span><\/section>\n

 \u7814\u7a76\u8bbe\u8ba1\u548c\u6570\u636e <\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n


<\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\u662f\u5426\u53d7\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u80fd\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u5ea6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u5927\u6570\u636e\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\uff08<\/span>1\uff09\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u68c0\u9a8c<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86<\/span>\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6570\u636e<\/span>\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u4e2d\u534e\u4eba\u6c11\u5171\u548c\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u90e8\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u68c0\u9a8c<\/span>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u6709\u5173<\/span>\u4e2d\u56fd\u63f4\u52a9\u7684\u6570\u636e<\/span>\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u63f4\u52a9\u6570\u636e\u7f51\u7ad9\uff08<\/span>the AidData website\uff09\uff0c\u8be5\u7f51\u7ad9\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86<\/span>2000<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3<\/span>2013<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u975e\u6d32\u8d22\u653f\u63f4\u52a9\u7684\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u9a8c\u8bc1<\/span><\/span>\u7b2c\u4e09\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe<\/span>\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86<\/span>1998\u5e74\u81f3<\/span>2013<\/span>\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u51fa\u8bbf\u7684\u6570\u636e<\/span><\/span>\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d<\/span>1998\u5e74\u81f3<\/span>2008<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea<\/span>Kastner<\/span>\u548c<\/span>Saunders2012<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u8bba\u6587\uff0c<\/span>2009<\/span>\u5e74\u81f3<\/span>2013<\/span>\u5e74\u7684\u6570\u636e\u7531\u4f5c\u8005\u672c\u4eba\u6536\u96c6\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5de5\u5177\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u4e8c\u8005\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u53d8\u52a8\u60c5\u51b5\u8fdb\u884c\u521d\u6b65\u7684\u6982\u8ff0\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4ee5\u56fe\u8868\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u60c5\u51b5\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u91cf\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u63f4\u52a9\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u56fe<\/span>1\u4e2d\uff0c\u5de6\u4fa7\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86<\/span>1990<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u60c5\u51b5\uff08\u5355\u4f4d\uff1a\u5343\u6876<\/span>\/<\/span>\u5929\uff09\u548c<\/span>1993<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u4e0e\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u6570\u91cf\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\u5185\u8fc5\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e14\u4e8c\u8005\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff1b\u53f3\u4fa7\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u56fe\u5c55\u793a\u4e86<\/span>2000<\/span>\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u60c5\u51b5\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5bf9\u975e\u63f4\u52a9\u60c5\u51b5\uff08\u5355\u4f4d\uff1a\u767e\u4e07\u7f8e\u5143\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u56fe\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u975e\u6d32\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u63f4\u52a9\u5e76\u4e0d\u603b\u662f\u4e0e\u5176\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u6301\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5b58\u5728\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u867d\u7136\u63f4\u52a9\u91d1\u989d\u5728<\/span>2007<\/span>\u5e74\u8fbe\u5230\u9876\u5cf0\uff0c\u4f46\u968f\u7740\u4e2d\u56fd\u77f3\u6cb9\u6d88\u8d39\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u8d8b\u52bf\u662f\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\uff08<\/span>2\uff09\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u4e3a\u4e86\u9a8c\u8bc1\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4e09\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u7528<\/span>\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea7\u91cf<\/span>\u6765\u8861\u91cf\u5176\u80fd\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ea7\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u4fe1\u606f\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff08<\/span>the US Energy Information Agency \uff0c<\/span>EIA<\/span>\uff09\u3002\u8868<\/span>1<\/span>\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e09\u4e2a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u7b80\u5355\u8d77\u89c1\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u53d8\u91cf\u90fd\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u4e8c\u5206\u6cd5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\uff08<\/span>3\uff09\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u867d\u7136\u8868<\/span>1\u5217\u51fa\u4e86\u53cc\u53d8\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4f46\u672c\u6587\u4e3b\u8981\u4f9d\u9760\u591a\u53d8\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u6765\u66f4\u4e25\u683c\u5730\u68c0\u9a8c\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u504f\u597d\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u80fd\u6e90\u4e30\u5bcc\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fd9\u4e00\u53d8\u91cf\u53d7\u5230\u5176\u4ed6\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7b80\u6d01\u5ea6\uff0c\u53ea\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d8\u91cf\uff1a<\/span><\/span>\u4eba\u5747<\/span>GDP\uff08\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u73b0\u884c\u6c47\u7387\u8ba1\u4ef7\uff09\uff0c<\/span>GDP<\/span>\u589e\u957f\u7387\u548c<\/span>FDI<\/span>\u6d41\u5165\uff08\u4ee5\u7f8e\u5143\u73b0\u884c\u6c47\u7387\u8ba1\u4ef7\uff09<\/span><\/span>\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u53d7\u5230\u56fd\u5bb6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e09\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u53d1\u5c55\u6307\u6807\u6570\u636e\u5e93\uff08<\/span>the World Bank\u2019s World Development Indicators database\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u56fd\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5176\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u63a8\u52a8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5c06\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u5217\u4e3a\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u65b9\u5411\u7edf\u8ba1\uff08<\/span>International Monetary Fund\u2019s Direction of Trade Statistics\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5c06\u6c11\u4e3b\u6c34\u5e73\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u5185\uff0c\u4ee5\u68c0\u67e5\u5317\u4eac\u662f\u5426\u652f\u6301\u5a01\u6743\u56fd\u5bb6\u6216\u6cbb\u7406\u4e0d\u5584\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u8fd9\u90e8\u5206\u6570\u636e\u6765\u81ea\u8de8\u56fd\u65f6\u95f4\u6570\u636e\u5e8f\u5217\u6863\u6848\uff08<\/span>the Cross-National Time-Series (CNTS) Data Archive\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u5b66\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u5e0c\u671b\u5e73\u8861\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6311\u6218\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u7684\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u7eb3\u5165\u4e86<\/span>\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u76df\u53cb<\/span>\u201d<\/span>\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u6d4b\u8bd5\u4e2d\u56fd\u662f\u5426\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u63a5\u8fd1\u6216\u907f\u514d\u63a5\u8fd1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6218\u7565\u670b\u53cb\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\uff08<\/span>4\uff09\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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\u5404\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53ca\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\u8bf7\u53c2\u8003\u539f\u6587\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n

\"\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\"<\/p>\n


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 \u7ed3 \u8bba <\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n


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\u5b98\u7f51\u4e0b\u8f7d\uff1a<\/span>Oxford Academic<\/span><\/em><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/fpa\/advance-article-abstract\/doi\/10.1093\/fpa\/orz011\/5381088<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

\u672c\u6587\u7531\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u5e73\u53f0\u72ec\u5bb6\u7f16\u8bd1\u9996\u53d1   <\/span><\/strong><\/em><\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u66f4\u591a\u9605\u8bfb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n<\/section>\n

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\u3010\u91cd\u78c5\u63a8\u8350\u3011\u5df4\u91cc\u00b7\u5e03\u8d5e\uff1a\u82f1\u56fd\u5b66\u6d3e\u89c6\u89d2\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77 | \u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/a><\/p>\n

\u3010\u91cd\u78c5\u901f\u9012\u3011\u7c73\u5c14\u65af\u6d77\u9ed8\uff1a\u6ce8\u5b9a\u5931\u8d25\uff1a\u81ea\u7531\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u5174\u8870 | \u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/a>
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\u3010\u7f8e\u56fd\u7814\u7a76\u3011IS\u6742\u5fd7\uff1a\u4e3a\u4f55\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u5927\u6218\u7565\u5982\u6b64\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1f| \u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/a><\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n

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\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/span><\/strong>\uff08ID\uff1aguozhengxueren)<\/span><\/section>\n
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\u4e3a\u65b9\u4fbf\u5b66\u4eba\u53ca\u65f6\u9605\u8bfb\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u6587\u7ae0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\u522b\u5fd8\u628a\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\u8bbe\u7f6e<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u661f\u6807<\/span><\/strong><\/span>\u54e6~<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<\/section>\n

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\n

\u539f\u6587\u59cb\u53d1\u4e8e\u5fae\u4fe1\u516c\u4f17\u53f7\uff08\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba\uff09\uff1a\u3010\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5916\u4ea4\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u662f\u5426\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff1f|\u56fd\u653f\u5b66\u4eba<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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